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The ice winter 2022/2023 at the German coasts and the Baltic Sea

Wiebke Aldenhoff

Table of Content

1 Overview of the ice winter 2022/23

The ice winter 2022/23 at the German North and Baltic Sea coasts was the eleventh weak ice winter and the twelfth too warm winter in a row. Noteworthy ice formation along the coasts occurred only during a cold period in December. At the Baltic Sea coast, a closed ice cover formed in the Szczecin Lagoon and the Bodden waters around Rügen and the Darß. Else, there was mostly new ice and some thicker ice at sheltered places along the coast. In the North Sea, new ice formed occasionally. In the beginning of February some marginal ice was present along the shores in the Bodden waters.
The ice winter in the Baltic Sea was a mild ice winter regarding the ice extent. Nevertheless, at the time of maximum ice extent the Bay of Bothnia, the coast of the Sea of Bothnia, the Gulf of Finland to Gogland and the north-eastern part of the Gulf of Riga were covered with ice. In the Bay of Bothnia, the ice season was slightly longer than usual; further south however it was mostly shorter.

2 The ice winter at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coast

2.1 Weather conditions at the German coastal areas

The winter 2022/2023 was the twelfth too warm winter in Germany in a row [1]. This is underlined by the comparison of the monthly mean air temperatures with the reference period from 1981–2010. These are shown in Table 1 for the four stations Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde und Greifswald. With the exception of December 2022, all monthly mean temperatures were higher than in the reference period. Especially in January and February 2023 it was significantly warmer than usual. The monthly mean temperatures were 3 °C to 3.7 °C and 1.9 °C to 3.1°C, respectively, warmer than usual. In December, however, it was colder than usual along the east coast with deviations from -0.3 °C to 0 °C from the reference period. In the North Sea, monthly mean temperatures were only slightly warmer.

Table 1 Monthly mean air temperatures and their deviation from the reference period 1981-2010. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (www.dwd.de).
  November December January February March
  T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT
Norderney 8.20 1.60 3.70 0.20 5.60 3.00 5.70 3.10 6.40 1.50
Schleswig 6.90 1.90 2.00 -0.00 4.40 3.10 4.00 2.60 5.10 1.30
Warnemünde 7.20 1.60 2.10 -0.30 4.90 3.40 3.70 1.90 5.70 1.50
Greifswald 6.40 1.70 1.10 -0.30 4.30 3.70 3.00 2.00 5.20 1.50

The weather situation during the winter is shown in more detail by the daily mean air temperature for the four stations Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde and Greifswald from November 2022 to April 2023 in Figure 1. At the beginning of November, the daily mean air temperatures were in the two-digit range. With the beginning of the last third of November, first negative daily mean temperatures were observed along the Baltic Sea coast but temperatures quickly rose again. Towards the end of the first third of December, temperatures were dropping quickly by the influence of polar air and permanent frost occurred locally [2]. These weather conditions lasted until 18 December 2022. Afterwards the trough of a low-pressure system caused quickly rising temperatures and rain. Daily mean temperatures increases of up to 10 °C within two days were quite common. In the following time, daily mean temperatures stayed well above the freezing point and at the turn of the year, they were in the two-digit positive range. The warm weather continued in the beginning of January. Towards the end of the second third of January, temperatures fell again and locally daily mean temperatures below the freezing point occurred. In the beginning of February, there was a period of colder temperatures followed by daily mean temperatures mostly above the freezing point. At the beginning of March, temperatures were colder again but stayed well above the freezing point afterwards.

Daily mean temperatures from December 2022 to April 2023 for Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde und Greifswald. Explanations in the text.
Figure 1 Daily mean air temperatures of selected stations along the German coast. Highlighted in blue are days with daily mean temperatures below the freezing point. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD).

Figure 2 shows the number of ice days, days with maximum temperature below the freezing point, and the cold sum, absolute value of the negative daily mean temperatures, of the stations Emden, Norderney, List, St. Peter Ording, Hamburg Fuhlsbüttel, Schleswig, Warnemünde, Greifswald, Arkona and Greifswalder Oie for the last four winters. In comparison with the last winters, the winter 2022/23 had more ice days than 2019/20 and 2021/22, but mostly fewer ice days than the winter 2020/21. The same pattern is reflected by the cold sum. The cold sum is also a mesure for the strength of a winter. The last four winters of the listed stations are all classified as a mild winter with a cold sum below 100.

Number of ice days and the cold sum for 10 stations along the German coast for the last four winters. Explanations in the text.
Figure 2 Number of ice days and cold sum for selected stations along the German coast.

If sea ice forms, depends on the water temperature. Sea ice formation may start once the freezing point is reached. For saline water, the freezing point is below 0°C. Besides the temperature, the sea state also affects the formation of ice as ice formation may be delayed on rough seas. The water temperatures in depths of 1 m to 1.5 m of the stations Büsum (Schleuse), Brunsbüttel, Cuxhaven and Norderney in the North Sea are shown in Figure 3. The water temperatures for the staions Travemünde, Warnemünde, Sassnitz and Koserow (depths from 1.5 to 3 m) along the Baltic sea coast and for the stations Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Karlshagen and Karnin in the Bodden waters and the western Szczecin Lagoon in 0.5 m depths are shown in Figure 4 and Figure 5, respectively. The water temperatures generally follow the pattern of the air temperature. In November, the temperatures continuously fell in all coastal areas. The cold period in December with the following higher air temperatures are well represented in the water temperatures of all stations. All stations reach their minimum water temperature during the cold period in December. Sub-zero temperatures are however only recorded for stations with the smallest sensor depths of 0.5 m in Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast and Karnin located in the Bodden waters and the Szczecin lagoon. In the further course of the winter temperatures stayed between 0 °C and 5 °C along the Baltic sea coast and around 5 °C along the North Sea coast. Generllay the water temperatures changed little throughout the rest of the winter and were following the patterns of the air temperature. Water temperatures started to increase continuously around mid-March.

Water temperatures from November to April of the stations Büsum(Schleuse), Brunsbüttel, Cuxhaven and Norderney along the North Sea coast.
Figure 3 Water temperatures along the German North Sea coast. Data source: Norderney and Cuxhaven - Deutsche Gesellschaft zur Rettung Schiffbrüchiger; Büsum - Schleuse Büsum, Brunsbüttel - WSA Brunsbüttel; Blankenese - Institut für Hygiene und Umwelt.
Water temperatures from November to April of the stations Travemünde, Warnemünde, Sassnitz and Koserow along the Baltic Sea coast.
Figure 4 Water temperatures along the outer coast of the Baltic Sea. Quellen: Warnemünde, Sassnitz, Travemünde - WSA Ostsee; Koserow - Staatliches Amt für Landwirtschaft und Umwelt Mittleres Mecklenburg.
Water temperatures from November to April of the stations Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Karlshagen, Karnin in the Bodden waters and the Szczecin Lagoon.
Figure 5 Water temperatures in the Bodden waters of the Darß and around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon. Data source: Karlshagen, Karnin, Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Sassnitz - WSA Ostsee.

2.2 Ice conditions at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts

In accordance with the weather conditions, the ice winter 2022/23 was a mild ice winter. Noteworthy ice formation along the German coasts only occurred during the cold period in December. At that time, a closed ice layer formed in the Szczecin Lagoon, the river Peene with the Achterwasser, the Bodden waters around Rügen, the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain and the Schlei. Ice also formed in sheltered places along the Baltic Sea and North Sea coasts. In the first third of February, some ice formed along the shores in sheltered inner waters around Rügen and the Achterwasser as well as in a few harbours.
The first ice of the season occurred at places along the Baltic sea coast around 10 December 2022. Ice formation along the entire coast started around 13/14 December 2022. At the North sea, ice fromation started around 15/16 December 2022. Figure 6 shows the ice situation from Fehmarn to the Szczecin Lagoon on 17 December 2022 by a Sentinel-2 optical image. The ice in the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the river Peene and the western part of the Szczecin Lagoon are already covered by a layer of snow and is therefore almost indistinguishable from the surrounding snow covered land. Thinner ice around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon is represented by a more greyish tone while very thin ice is hardly distinguishable from the water without zooming in. On a closer look, some lighter thin features are visible that occur i.e. when thin ice gets rafted. 17 December 2022 is just before the maximum ice extent of the winter is reached on 19 December 2022 and the ice situation didn't change much the following days.

Sentinel-2 optical image of the German coast from Fehmarn to the Szczecin Lagoon 17 December 2022.
Figure 6 Sentinel-2 image of the Szczecin Lagoon and the Bodden waters from 17.12.2022 [Copernicus Sentinel data 2022, processed by SentinelHub]. The ice in the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the river Peene and the western part of the Szczecin Lagoon are already covered by a layer of snow and is therefore almost indistinguishable from the surrounding snow covered land. Thinner ice around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon is represented by a more greyish tone while very thin ice is hardly distinguishable from the water without zooming in.
Figure 7 shows a Sentinel-1 radar image of the German Baltic Sea coast from the Flensburg Firth to the Szczecin Lagoon 20 December 2022. The picture was taken one day after the maximum ice extent. The ice is clearly visible by its darker tone compared to the open water especially in the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the Bodden waters around Rügen, the river Peene and the Szczecin Lagoon. The uniform dark tone of the ice shows that thawing has started on the ice surface. The fairway towards Szczecin in the Szczecin Lagoon is visible as a bright line because of small ice floes and fragments of ice that originate from breaking the ice.
Figure 7 Sentinel-1 radar image of the German Baltic Sea coast from 20.12.2022 [Copernicus Sentinel data 2022, processed by SentinelHub]. The ice is clearly visible by its darker tone compared to the open water especially in the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the Bodden waters around Rügen, the river Peene and the Szczecin Lagoon.


The thin ice in the North Sea quickly vanished with significantly raising temperatures and rain starting on 19 December 2022. Along the Baltic Sea coast of Schleswig-Holstein with exceopt of the inner Schlei, the ice also thawed quickly and most of it was gone by 20 December 2022. Along the coast of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the ice persisted slightly longer especially in sheltered areas of the Bodden waters and the Szczecin Lagoon. Most of the ice was gone by 27 December 2022. In the Achterwassser and along the northern shore of the Szczecin Lagoon some ice remnants were present until the turn of the year. The last station that reported ice was Kamminke (harbour and vicinity) on 27 December 2022. The maximum ice thicknesses were reached in the Bodden waters and the Szczecin lagoon with about 10 cm and thicker ice at a few places. This thicker ice in sheltered places remained until the end of the ice season.
The course of the ice winter is also reflected by the daily areal ice volume sum. The areal ice volume sum is a measure to determine the ice winter strength that depends on the ice thickness, the ice concentration and the duration of the ice occurance
[3]. The ice volume sum is calclated at 13 ice climate stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast, respectively. Along the North Sea coast the following stations are used for the calculation: Borkum/Westerems, Emden (Ems and outer harbour), Norderney/Seegat, Wangerooge/wadden, Lighthouse Hohe Weg, Brake (Weser), Helgoland, Stadersand/Elbe, Brunsbüttel, Hamburg/Landungsbrücken, Husum (harbour), Amrum/Schmaltief and Tönning (harbour). Along the Baltic Sea coast the following stations are used: Koserow, Arkona, Landtiefrinne, Vierendehlrinne, Warnemünde/sea area, Rostock-Warnemünde, Walfisch-Timmendorf, Travemünde-Lübeck, Marienleuchte/sea area, Westermarkelsdorf/sea area, Eckernförde (harbour), Schleimünde-Schleswig and Flensburg-Holnis. The only station to report ice in the North Sea for the ice winter 2023 was Wangerooge/wadden. In the Baltic Sea, ice was observed at five stations: Vierendehlrinne, Rostock-Warnemünde, Walfisch-Timmendorf, Travemünde-Lübeck and Flensburg-Holnis. In Figure 8 the daily ice volume sum is shown for the North Sea and the Baltic Sea.

Daily ice volume sum for the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast. Explanations in the text.
Figure 8 Daily areal ice volume sum of the 13 climatological ice stations at the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast, respectively.
The short period of ice formation in the North Sea is reflected by the ice volume sum that is only present at four days from 16-19 December 2022. At the Baltic Sea coast, the daily ice volume sum increased continuously from 10 December 2022 until the start of the melting period on 19 December 2022. Afterwards the daily ice volume sum rapidly declined and no ice climate station reported ice after 26 December 2022. Henceforth the ice volume sum is a good measure for the course of the ice winter. The Bodden waters and western Szczecin Lagoon are not included in the climate stations as sea ice usually forms in these areas even in mild winters and they are therefore not a good climate indicator.
Overall, 54 of 123 ice stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast reported ice during the winter 2022/23. Twelve of these stations were located in the North Sea and 42 in the Baltic Sea. The most days with ice were observed at the station Barth with 16 days and at the stations Althagen and Kamminke(harbour and vicinity) with 15 days. In the North Sea, four days of ice were observed at the stations of Büsum (harbour, Norderpiep and Süderpiep) and Wangerooge (wadden und Harle). An overview of all German ice observation stations that reported ice this winter is given in the appendices A und B.

2.3 Navigational conditions at the North Sea and Baltic Sea

Navigation in German coastal waters was no significantly impacted by the ice conditions in the winter 2022/23. At times ferry traffic in the western area of Rügen operated in an open lead without assistance. Some ice breaking was done in the river Peene by a multi-purpose vessel. Small and leisure boat traffic was affected by the ice conditions in areas with a closed ice cover in the Bodden waters, the river Peene and the Szczecin Lagoon.

2.4 Ice winter severity

The ice winter severity along the German coasts is determined by the accumulated areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climate stations for the North Ses and Blatic Sea (see 2.2). The ice winters are than classified in five categories: weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe. The accumulated ice volume sum for both coasts is shown in Figure 9. The ice volume sum in the North Sea 2022/23 was 0.006 m and the ice winter was therfore a weak ice winter. The winter in the Baltic Sea was also a weak ice winter with an ice volume sum of 0.1 m. The ice winter 2022/23 at both coasts were the eleventh weak ice winters in a row.
Accumulated areal ice volume sum for the North Sea and Baltic Sea in the ice winter 2022/23.
Figure 9 Accumulated areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological stations at the North and Baltic Sea coast, respectively.
The time series of the accumulated ice volume sum at the German Baltic Sea coast since 1879 is shown in Figure 10. Over the entire period of 145 years, 29 winters were milder or equal and 115 winters were stronger than this year's ice winter. There was no severe ice winter since 2010 and the last very severe ice winter was 1996.
Time series of ice volume sum from 1879 for the Baltic Sea.
Figure 10 Time series of ice volume sum at the German Baltic Sea coast since 1879. The black lines denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.
Figure 11 shows the time series of the accumulated ice volume sum for the North Sea coast since 1897. Over the entire period of 127 years 19 winter were weaker or equal and 107 winter were stronger. The last severe winter was 1996 and the last very severe winter was in 1979. Overall, there has been only one severe winter at the Baltic Sea coast since the turn of the millenium. All other winters since then have been weak or moderate.
Time series of ice volume sum from 1897 for the North Sea.
Figure 11 Time series of the ice volume sum at the German North Sea Coast since 1897. The black lines denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.

3 Ice conditions in the western and southern Baltic Sea, Kattegat and Skagerrak

In the Skagerrak and Kattegat, ice that was mostly thin occurred only occasionally during the winter. Yet, in some inner fjords and sheltered areas along the Norwegian coast fast ice formed and persisted at places from mid-December to beginning of April. In Danish waters and along the Swedish south coast to Kalmar in the north, there was some new ice during the cold period in December. In the lagoons from the Polish to the Lithuanian coast, an up to 10 cm thick, closed ice cover formed during December. Ice formation in the Curonian Lagoon started slightly earlier than in the more western lagoons. The Szczecin Lagoon was ice-free by the end of December except of some ice remnants along the northern shore. In the Vistula Lagoon, the ice persisted until the beginning of January. In the Curonian Lagoon most of the ice was gone by mid-January but some drifting ice survided to the end of January. At Sea, no significant ice formed from the Skagerrak to the Southeast Baltic Sea. Therfore, there were no restrictions or obstructions to navigation in the area. At some coastal areas with closed ice cover and in places along the Norwegian coast, small boats and leisure crafts were affected by the ice.

4 Ice conditions in the northern Baltic Sea

The ice season in the entire Baltic Sea was overall a mild one, eventhough the Bay of Bothnia and the Quark were at times completely covered by ice. Further south from the Sea of Bothnia to the Central Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Riga there was almost no ice formation outside the coastal areas. In the Gulf of Finland, drift ice was most of the winter only present in the eastern part.
The ice season in the Baltic Sea started in the northern Bay of Bothnia on 15 November 2022. First at the end of November ice formation advanced further south to the Quark. In the Gulf of Finland ice formation started around 20 November 2022 in St. Petersburg and the Bay of Vyborg. In the Gulf of Riga, the first ice occurred around 5 December 2022 in the Bay of Pärnu and the Väinameri. With the cold period in the second third of December, ice formation in coastal areas extended southward to the Western Baltic. At that time, the first ice also formed on Lake Mälaren and Lake Vänern.
In the Western and Southern Baltic the ice vanished by the end of December and in the Southeastern Baltic some ice remnants were present to the end of January. Meanwhile the ice extent in the Bay of Bothnia and the Gulf of Finland increased only slowly during January. Southerly winds brought warmer temperatures and the ice was compacted along the northern shores. In the beginning of February, ice formation increased in the northern and eastern Baltic Sea. Strong southerly/southeasterly winds however forced the drift ice consistently northwards/northeastwards so that no closed ice cover could form in these areas. From mid-February onwards, the ice cover in the northern Baltic Sea extended continuously and finally reached its maximum on 12 March 2023. The ice chart with the maximum ice extent issued by the BSH on 8 March 2023 is shown in Figure 12. March was colder than usual especially in the Bay of Bothnia so that the ice extent steadily increased in the first half of March.

 Ice chart of maximum sea ice extent in the Baltic Sea at 8 March 2023.
Figure 12 Ice chart of maximum sea ice extent on 8 March 2023 of the Baltic Sea issued by BSH.
At the time of maximum ice extent, the entire Bay of Bothnia was covered by level or very close ice. In the Quark, there was close to very close ice at sea. Along the Swedish coast, new ice formed in coastal areas all the way to the Northern Baltic in the south and fast ice or level ice was present in sheltered bays. Along the entire Finnish coast, there was fast ice in inner bays and new ice further out. In the Gulf of Finlad, very close drift ice was present to about Gogland and thin open ice was present slightly further west. In the Gulf of Riga, there was thin ice in Väinameri, the Bay of Pärnu and along the coast in the Northeast. In Lake Mälaren, there was fast ice in the west and thin level ice elsewhere. In Lake Vänern new ice was present along the east coast.
In the Gulf of Riga and the Northern Baltic including Lake Vänern the ice vanished relatively quickly until the end of March. In Lake Mälaren some rotten ice persisted until mid-April. In the Gulf of Finland the ice cover decreased continously after reaching its maximum. Easterly winds in the first half of April pushed the ice westwards were it melted quickly. In the Sea of Åland, the Archipelago Sea and the Sea of Bothnia the sea ice decreased during April. By the end of April, the Baltic Sea up to the Quark was ice free except some rotten fast ice in sheltered bays along the Swedish coast. The Bay of Bothnia was covered area-wide with ice for some time after the maximum ice extent. Around mid-April, the ice drifted westward and a large lead with very open ice formed along the eastern coast. At the beginning of the last third of April melting started in the area and the drift ice started to open on a large scale. With the beginning of May, the ice at sea decreased quickly and the fast ice started to get rotten. Mid-May, there was only rotten fast ice in the northern part and at the end of May, the Baltic Sea was ice free. The fast ice in the Bay of Bothnia reached thicknesses of 70 cm and up to 40 cm in the Gulf of Finland. The drift ice in the north was up to 65 cm thick and up to 30 cm in the Gulf of Finland.
Restrictions for navigation were in place in the northern Bay of Bothnia from the beginning of December and the last restrictions were lifted at the end of May for the northernmost Finnish harbours. At times, there were also resrictions for harbours along the Swedish and Finnish coast as south as the Northern Baltic and for the port Pärnu in the Gulf of Riga. In the Gulf of Finland, there were restrictions for russian harbours for small boats from end of November to April and later for larger vessels to the harbours of Vysotsk and Vyborg. At times, there were also restrictions to the Finnsish harbours. The Saimaa Canal was closed from 9 January 2023 to 1 May 2023.

5 Ice winter severity of the Baltic Sea

The strength of the ice winter of the entire Baltic Sea is determined by the maximum ice extent. The maximum ice extent of the Baltic Sea according to the daily Swedish and Finnish ice charts (SMHI and FMI respectively) was reached on 12 March 2023 and was 83000 km2. The maximum ice extent of the weekly ice charts of the BSH was reached on 8 March 2023 and was 70058 km2. The relatively large difference in maximum ice extent is explained by the time difference between the two charts. New ice formed in the Gulf of Riga, the Gulf of Finland and along the Swedish coast of the Sea of Bothnia during the days. Furthermore, there are generally differences due to the subjective interpretation of satellite imagery and other information, differences in the calculation techniques and the chosen land masks.
A time series of the maximum ice extent from the FMI and the BSH since 1960 is shown in Figure 13. Both calculated maximum ice extents generally follow the same trend but are never equal.
Time series of maximum ice extent from FMI and BSH since 1960.
Figure 13 Maximum ice extent from the Finnish ice service and the BSH 1961-2022.
The classification of the ice winter in five categories from extreme weak to extreme srong is done according to the method of Nusser [4]. The ice winter 2022/23 was an extreme weak ice winter according to this classification. In a threepart classification from mild to strong of the Swedish and Finnish ice services this winter was a mild ice winter <115000 km2). The maximum in the second third of March was rather late in comparison with the last years but generally not exceptional. March was comparatively cold in the northern Baltic Sea. Furthermore, southerly winds in February brought warmer weather and the ice was pushed northwards so that no closed ice cover could form in the Bay of Bothnia. Besides the ice extent, the ice volume is also of interest. The maximum ice volume from the BSH ice charts was reached on 30 March 2023 with 14,7 km3. The maximum volume is reached later than the ice extent as ice growth continued in the north. Furthermore, there was a colder period at the end of March with some new ice as south as the Sea of Åland, so that the ice extent increased as well.

6 Reporting of the BSH

The BSH informed about ice conditions and expected ice development in the entire Baltic Sea and German coastal waters by the following reports and ice charts:

125
Ice reports (Amtsblatt, official report issued Monday - Friday)
9
German Ice Reports (Information about ice conditions in German fairways)<
11
Baltic Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
1
North Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
26
Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)<
0
Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)
2
Ice charts of the German Baltic Sea coast (up to daily)

The weekly report with a review and an outlook of the ice situation in the Baltic as well as with a glimpse of the ice situation at the poles is issued weekly throughout the year since 2022.

Bibliography

  1. Deutscher Wetterdienst (2023, 27. Februar), Deutschlandwetter im Winter 2022/23 [Pressemitteilung], https://www.dwd.de/DE/presse/pressemitteilungen/DE/2023/20230227_deutschlandwetter_winter22-23_news.html
  2. Deutscher Wetterdienst, Die Witterung in den deutschen Küstengebieten, https://www.dwd.de/DE/leistungen/witterungkueste/witterungkueste.html
  3. Koslowski, G., 1989: Die flächenbezogene Eisvolumensumme, eine neue Maßzahl für die Bewertung des Eiswinters an der Ostseeküste Schleswig-Holsteins und ihr Zusammenhang mit dem Charakter des meteorologischen Winters. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 42, 61-80
  4. Nusser, F., 1948: Die Eisverhältnisse des Winters 1947/48 an den deutschen Küsten. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 1, 149–156

Appendix

A. Ice conditions at the German coasts

Table A1 Characteristics of the German ice observing stations at the Baltic Sea winter 2022/23.
*Maximum thickness from the ranges of the Baltic Sea ice code. For codes 7, 8 and 9 thicknesses of 22 cm, 40 cm and 45 cm, respectively, are used.
  Begin End Days with ice max. ice thickness [cm]
(Measurement)
max. ice thickness [cm]*
(Baltic Sea ice code)
Althagen, harbour and vicinity 12.12. 26.12. 15 [—] 30
Anklam, harbour 15.12. 22.12. 8 8.0 10
Anklam, harbour – Peenestrom 15.12. 22.12. 8 8.0 10
Barhöft – Gellen fairway 17.12. 22.12. 6 [—] 5
Barth, harbour and vicinity 11.12. 26.12. 16 11.0 15
Bridge of Zecherin, Peenestrom 13.12. 26.12. 14 6.0 10
Dranske, Libben fairway 19.12. 21.12. 3 5.0 5
Dranske, bodden area 15.12. 22.12. 8 5.0 10
Dänische Wieck 15.12. 22.12. 8 7.0 22
Flensburg – Holnis 12.12. 19.12. 8 [—] 5
Greifswald-Ladebow, harbour 13.12. 22.12. 9 7.0 22
Greifswald-Wieck, harbour 15.12. 22.12. 8 7.0 22
Heiligenhafen, harbour 17.12. 19.12. 3 1.0 5
Kamminke, harbour and vicinity 15.12. 29.12. 15 [—] 5
Karnin, Firth of Szczecin 14.12. 19.12. 6 [—] 10
Karnin, Peenestrom 14.12. 19.12. 6 [—] 10
Kloster, bodden area 10.12. 26.12. 14 8.0 10
Lübeck – Travemünde 18.12. 19.12. 2 [—] 5
Neuendorf, harbour and vicinity 11.12. 26.12. 13 4.0 10
Neustadt, harbour 06.02. 06.02. 1 [—] 5
Peenemünde – Ruden 14.12. 20.12. 7 [—] 5
Rankwitz, Peenestrom 15.12. 26.12. 12 6.0 10
Rostock – Warnemünde 12.12. 21.12. 10 [—] 10
Rostock, city harbour 14.12. 23.12. 10 [—] 10
Sassnitz, harbour and vicinity 16.12. 10.02. 8 [—] 5
Schlei, Schleswig – Kappeln 11.12. 21.12. 11 7.0 10
Stralsund – Bessiner Haken 15.12. 24.12. 10 5.0 10
Stralsund – Palmer Ort 15.12. 23.12. 9 [—] 5
Stralsund, harbour 15.12. 22.12. 8 3.0 5
Thiessow, bodden area 14.12. 19.12. 6 [—] 10
Thiessow, sea 15.12. 18.12. 4 [—] 5
Ueckermünde, Firth of Szczecin 16.12. 23.12. 8 [—] 10
Ueckermünde, harb. – river mouth 17.12. 20.12. 4 [—] 10
Ueckermünde, harbour 17.12. 20.12. 4 [—] 10
Vierendehlrinne 15.12. 26.12. 12 5.0 10
Walfisch – Timmendorf 15.12. 19.12. 5 [—] 5
Warthe, Peenestrom 14.12. 26.12. 13 10.0 10
Wismar – Walfisch 15.12. 20.12. 6 [—] 5
Wismar, harbour 12.12. 21.12. 10 8.0 10
Wittower Fähre, vicinity 15.12. 23.12. 9 [—] 10
Wolgast – Peenemünde 15.12. 23.12. 10 [—] 10
Zingst, Zingster Strom 14.12. 21.12. 8 8.0 10
Table A1 Characteristics of the German ice observing stations at the North Sea winter 2022/23.
*Maximum thickness from the ranges of the Baltic Sea ice code. For codes 7, 8 and 9 thicknesses of 22 cm, 40 cm and 45 cm, respectively, are used.
  Begin End Days with ice max. ice thickness [cm]
(Measurement)
max. ice thickness [cm]*
(Baltic Sea ice code)
Bremen, Weser 16.12. 17.12. 2 [—] 5
Büsum, Norderpiep 16.12. 19.12. 4 [—] 5
Büsum, Süderpiep 16.12. 19.12. 4 [—] 5
Büsum, harbour 16.12. 19.12. 4 [—] 5
Ellenbogen (Sylt), Listertief 16.12. 17.12. 2 5.0 5
Emden, Neuer Binnenhafen 15.12. 16.12. 2 [—] 5
Schillig, Jade 18.12. 19.12. 2 [—] 5
Wangerooge, Harle 16.12. 19.12. 4 [—] 5
Wangerooge, wadden 16.12. 19.12. 4 5.0 5
Wangerooger Fahrwasser 18.12. 19.12. 2 [—] 5
Wilhelmshaven, harbour entrances 18.12. 19.12. 2 [—] 5
Wilhelmshaven, oil jetty (Jade) 18.12. 19.12. 2 [—] 5

B. Baltic Sea ice codes of German stations.

Figure B1 Firts part Baltic Sea ice codes of Baltic Sea stations winter 2022/23.
Figure B1 Second part Baltic Sea ice codes of Baltic Sea stations winter 2022/23.
Figure B1 Baltic Sea ice codes of NorthSea stations winter 2022/23.

The ice winter 2020/2021 at the German coasts and the Baltic Sea

Table of Content

1 Overview of the ice winter 2020/21

The ice season 2020/21 at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coast was a weak ice winter, that was dominated be an approximately two week long frost period in ther first half of February. During this period, severe to very severe frost caused ice formation along the entire German coast. Unusually warm weather in the second half of February lead to a relatively rapid melting of the sea ice. The ice season of the entire Baltic Sea was also a weak ice winter. Ice formation started late in the season and the first significant ice outside the archipelagoes of the Bay of Bothnia formed in the second half of December. At the time of the maximum ice extent the Bay of Bothnia, the Quark, coastal areas of the Sea of Bothnia, large parts of the Gulf of Finland and the Gulf of Riga, coastal areas of Germany, southern Sweden, Danmark and Norwegian fjords in the Skagerrak were covered by ice. The last ice in the Bay of Bothnia melted at the end of May.

2 The ice winter at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coast

2.1 Weather conditions at the German coastal areas

The winter 2020/21 was dominated by a cold period in the first half of February that caused up to very severe frost at some places. Daily mean temperatures of some selected weather stations along the German coast are shown in Figure 1. Warmer and colder periods alternate in December and January but daily mean temperatures stay mostly above 0 °C. Mid of January, a short period of sub-zero daily mean temperatures occured at some stations along the German Baltic Sea coast. At the end of January a significant drop in air temperatures occured when cold polar air masses were brought to northern Germany. In the first half of February, daily mean air temperatures were partly clearly below the freezing point. The weather changed quickly mid February when warm air masses from the southwest significantly increased the daily mean air temperatures to locally more than 10 °C. The daily maximum temperatures were often the highest in a February at all times since the start of the records. Temperatures at the beginning of March were slightly colder but no significant frost occured again.

Figure 1 Daily mean temperatures of selected stations along the German coast. Highlighted in blue are days with daily mean temperatures below the freezing point. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)

Despite the relative cold first half of February, monthly mean temperatures of the selected weather stations were above the long term mean value of the reference period from 1981-2010 for all winter months (sea Table 1). November and December were 1.6 to 2.7 °C warmer than the reference period while January, February and March were only up to 1 °C warmer. The winter 2020/21 was the tenth too warm winter in a row [1].

Table 1 Monthly mean air temperatures and their deviation from the reference period 1981-2010. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (www.dwd.de).

Compared to the last two winters, this winter was much colder. This is demonstrated in Figure 2 by the number of ice days, the days with a daily maximum temperature below the freezing point, and the cold sum, the sum of negative daily mean temperatures between November and March. The winter 2017/18 however was slightly colder than this winter; only at the North sea, there were some more ice days this winter. The past winters along the coast can all be classified as mild winters (cold sum < 100), only for Greifswald a cold sum slightly above 100 was obtained in the winter 2017/18.

Figure 2 Number of ice days and cold sum for selected stations along the German coast.

The water temperatures along the German coast reflect the course of the air temperatures and the lowest temperatures are reached in the first three weeks of February. At the North Sea coast (see Figure 3) the temperatures drop continuously during the winter and reach their minimum values mid February. However, only at the measuring station in Büsum sub freezing temperatures are recorded. Along the outer coasts of the Baltic Sea, water temperatures also drop contiunously in the course of the winter and reach their minimun temperatures in mid February. Only the station in Sassnitz recorded temperatures below 0 °C for a short period. Water temperatures at the Bodden waters of the Darß and around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon show the largest drop in November while the temperatures in December and January remain between 0 bis 5 °C (see Figure 5). Mid January the first temperatures below 0 °C are registered at some stations. Beginning of February most stations but Karlshagen show temperatures below the freezing point. With the warmer temperatures after mid February, water temperatures increase in all sea areas. During the beginning of march, temperatures remain quite static before they increase further.

Figure 3 Water tempertaures along the German North Sea coast. Data source: Norderney and Cuxhaven - Deutsche Gesellschaft zur Rettung Schiffbrüchiger; Büsum - Schleuse Büsum, Brunsbüttel - WSA Brunsbüttel; Blankenese - Institut für Hygiene und Umwelt.
Figure 4 Water temperatures along the outer coast of the Baltic Sea. Quellen: Warnemünde, Sassnitz, Travemünde - WSA Ostsee; Koserow - Staatliches Amt für Landwirtschaft und Umwelt Mittleres Mecklenburg.
Figure 5 Water temperatures in the Bodden waters of the Darß and around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon. Data source: Karlshagen, Karnin, Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Sassnitz - WSA Ostsee.

2.2 Ice conditions at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts

The ice winter 2020/21 along the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts followed mostly the weather pattern. A first period of sea ice formation was observed mid January in sheltered areas of the Baltic Sea. The cold temperatures in the first half of February caused ice formation along the entire North and Baltic Sea coasts.
The first ice along the German Baltic Sea coast formed during the first short frost period in mid January. Ice formation was first reported on 16.01.2021 by the ice observation stations in Schleswig at the Schlei, Neuendorf/Hiddensee and Rankwitz/Peene. In the following days ice formed in coastal areas in the Bay of Greifswald, along the river Peene and in the Szczecin Lagoon. This first short period of ice ended around the 20.01.2021 when warmer air masses were brought in by a low pressure system moving from Great Britain towards Norway. With falling temperatures, ice formation resumed in the end of January/beginning of February and increased noticeable from the 10.02.2021 onwards. The maximum ice extent was observed on the 16.02.2021. The ice situation at this point is shown in Figure 5.

Figure 6 Ice chart at maximum ice extent along the German coast on 16.02.2021 issued by the BSH.
The Szczecin Lagoon, the Darss-Zingst Bodden Chain, the Bodden waters around Rügen were entirely and the Greifswald Bodden mostly covered by ice. In the western Bay of Pomerania was open drift ice in a few places. More westwards, the Salzhaff and Wismar Bay up to the island Walfisch were covered by ice. In most of the inner fjords of Schleswig-Holstein new ice had formed and the Schlei was mostly covered with ice. At the outer coasts and at open sea ice was reported only very occasionally for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and not at all for Schleswig-Holstein. With the start of the warmer weather in mid February, the thin ice vanished quickly. Only in the sheltered areas of the Bodden waters, the Greifswald Bodden and in the Szczecin Lagoon, where ice thicknesses above 20cm were reached locally, the ice remained for a longer period. The last areas were ice free on 26.02.2021. An overview of the progress of the ice winter is given by the daily areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological stations (Koserow, Arkona, Landtiefrinne, Vierendehlrinne, Warnemünde/Seegebiet, Rostock-Warnemünde, Walfisch-Timmendorf, Travemünde-Lübeck, Marienleuchte/Seegebiet, Westermarkelsdorf/Seegebiet, Eckernförde (Bucht und Hafen), Schleimünde-Schleswig) shown in Figure 7. The two periods of ice formation and the break in between are represented in the graph. It is also visible that the ice amount increases significantly after the 10th of February. With the warmer temperatures the daily ice volume first decreases rapidly when the thinner ice melts. The thicker and more persistant ice causes a stagnation in ice melt before the ice finally melted away.
Figure 7 Daily areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological station at the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast.

The first ice at the North Sea coast was reported by the ice observing station at Emden Binnenhafen on the 30th January 2021. In sheltered areas, ice formed in the following days. Noticeable ice formation at the North and East Frisian Wadden Seas and the river Elbe took place after February 10th. In the Wadden Seas there was mostly very open to open drift ice with close ice at some places. Ice thicknesses were mostly about 5-15 cm. In some harbours and locally at sea, ice thicknesses up to about 40 cm were reported which mostly were caused by ice floes freezing together due to constant tidal motions of the water. The ice melted quickly with the warmer temperatures from mid February onwards. The last ice was reported on February 19th. The course of the ice winter is also shown in the daily areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological stations along the North Sea coast (Borkum/Westerems, Emden (Emsgebiet und Außenhafen), Norderney/Seegatt, Wangerooge/Watten, Hohe Weg/Leuchtturm, Brake (Weser), Helgoland, Stadersand/Elbegebiet, Brunsbüttel, Hamburg/Landungsbrücken, Husum (Au und Hafen), Amrum/Schmaltief, Tönnig (Hafen)) in Figure 7. Ice formation quickly increased from February 10th onwards. With warmer temperatures and the effect of the tides, the ice vanished quickly at the climatological stations.
All in all, 97 of 123 ice observation stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts reported ice for at least one day. At the Baltic Sea, the maximum number of reported ice days was 30 at the Schlei. In some places of the Bodden waters, Peenestrom and the Szczecin Lagoon ice was reported on 23-26 days. The maximum number of days with ice at the North Sea coast were reported for Amrum (Hafen Wittdün) with 19 and Lister Tief with 15.

2.3 Navigational conditions at the North Sea and Baltic Sea

At the North Sea coast, there were locally obstructions for shipping due to the ice situation. Ferry and freight traffic between Harlesiel and Wangerooge had to be suspended for some days due to the ice situation in the harbour of Harlesiel. At the German Baltic Coast only daytime navigation was allowed from February 11th in the northern approach to Stralsund (including Bodden waters west), eastern approach to Stralsund (from the sea mark „Landtief B“ to the ports of the Bight of Greifswald and to the harbour Stralsund), fairway „Osttief“ and northern Peenestrom, southern Peenestrom, Achterwasser and the Kleines Haff. From February 15th traffic in the Strelasund, eastern approach to Stralsund (from the sea mark „Landtief B“ to the ports of the Bight of Greifswald and to the harbour Stralsund) and fairway „Osttief“ and northern Peenestrom was restricted to vessels with minimum 1000 kW or vessels suitable for navigation in ice. Both restrictions were lifted on February 26th.

2.4 Ice winter severity

The ice winter severity for the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coast is defined by the areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological stations for each coastal area (see 2.2). The accumulated ice volume sum of the winter 2020/21 is shown in Figure 8. At the Baltic Sea coast, an areal ice volume sum of 0.37 m and at the North Sea coast of 0.26 m was calculated. Therefore, the ice winter at both German coastal areas is a weak ice winter. Moderate ice winters start at an areal ice volume sum of 0.5 m at the Baltic Sea and 0.35 m at the North Sea. It is the ninth weak winter in a row at both coasts as shown in a time series of areal ice volume sum in Figure 9 and 10. The black lines show the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.
Figure 8 Accumulated areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological stations at the North and Baltic Sea coast, respectively.
Figure 9 Time series of ice volume sum at the German Baltic Sea coast since 1879.
Figure 10 Time series of the ice volume sum at the German North Sea Coast since 1897.
The ice volume sum also reflects that the winter 2020/21 was stronger than the two previous winter but slightly weaker then the winter 2017/18. The time series also shows that since the start of the new millenium, there was only one winter, the winter 2009/2010 at the Baltic Coast, that was a strong ice winter at both coastal areas. Overall a decreasing trend in the ice winter severity can be observed. Alltogether since 1878/79 (142 years), 50 winters were equal or weaker in terms of the ice volume sum at the Baltic Sea coast compared to this winter. At the North Sea coast, 53 winters were equal or weaker compared to this winter since 1896/97 (125 years).

3 Ice conditions in the western and southern Baltic Sea, Kattegat and Skagerrak

Noticeable ice formation startet in fjords and archipelagoes of the Norwegian and Swedish coasts in Skagerrak and Kattegat in the beginning of February. In sheltered areas sea ice thicknesses of up to 15 cm were reached but in some Norwegian fjords the fast ice got up to 30 cm thick. At the end of February the area was mostly ice free. In Danish waters first sea ice formation was observed mid of January in some sheltered places, that quickly melted away. Since the beginning of February increased ice formation took place in fjords and sheltered areas. The maximum ice thickness reached up to 15 cm in some areas. Navigation was not obstructed and most of the ice was gone by the 25th of February. In the southern Baltic Sea, first ice formation started mid of January in the Szczecin Lagoon, Vistula Lagoon and Curonian Lagoon. In the Szczecin Lagoon the ice persisted only for a few days before ice formation started again with the beginning of February. Szczecin Lagoon was covered by fast ice from the 10th of February onwards that reached a maximum ice thickness of about 20 cm. The area was ice free from the beginning of March. In the Bay of Pomerania some partly open drift ice was observed from 15th - 17th of February with a thickness of up to 10 cm. Vistula Lagoon and Curonian Lagoon were continuously covered by ice and most of the ice vanished by mid March. The maximum ice thickness was about 15-25 cm.

4 Ice conditions in the northern Baltic Sea

In the Bay of Bothnia, the first ice formed in the inner archipelagoes by the end of November. It took however until the end of December that noticable ice formed outside the sheltered coastal areas. By the end of January the entire area of the Quark was covered with close or new ice, the southwest part of the Bay of Bothnia was, however, still mostly ice free at sea. In the Sea of Bothnia ice started to form in the northern part beginning of January and by mid January new ice had formed along the entire eastern coast and a bit later also along the western coast. Noticeable ice formation in the eastern Gulf of Finland started around the 10th of December. Only slowly the ice edge advaced westwards along the Finnish coast. In sheltered areas of the Gulf of Riga ice formation started in the northeastern part around the 10th of January. The maximum ice extent was reached on February 15th. The timeliest ice chart issued by the BSH on February 12th is shown in Figure 11.

Figure 11 Ice chart from 12.02.2021 issued by the BSH for the entire Baltic Sea.
At this point the entire Bay of Bothnia and the Quark were covered by ice. Along the coasts of the Sea of Bothnia, new ice or thin level ice had formed; in the archipelagoes of the eastern coast and in sheletered bays of the west coast, there was also fast ice. The Gulf of Finland was covered by very close ice in the eastern part and close ice in the west from about Tallinn to the Åland Islands. The Gulf of Riga was allmost entirely covered by new ice, with very close or fast ice in Väinameri and the northeastern part. Along the southeast coast of Sweden ice had formed in sheltered areas down to Karlskrona. The maximum thickness of the fast ice during the winter in the Bay of Bothnia was about 60-70 cm. The drift ice in the Bay of Bothnia was at maximum 50 cm thick. In the eastern Gulf of Finland the thickness of the fast ice reached about 45 cm, and the drift ice was up to 30 cm thick. Most of the ice along the east coast of Sweden vanished by mid March except in some sheltered bays and Angermanälven. In Väinameri and the northeastern Gulf of Riga some drift ice remained until the end of March and the last ice in the Bay of Pärnu vanished by the 10th of April. In the Gulf of Finland, the drift ice was pushed more and more eastwards during March but fast ice remained in the northern archipelagoes. From the 20th of April the Gulf of Finland was mostly ice free. In the Archipelago Sea and the eastern Sea of Bothnia the ice vanished in the first half of April. In the Bay of Bothnia, the drift ice was pushed eastwards by the end of March and at sea, the western Bay of Bothnia remained mostly ice free except for some sporadic ice floes. The last remaining ice in the Bay of Bothnia vanished by May 20th.
In the Bay of Bothnia restrictions for navigation regarding ice class and ship size/deadweight were in place from 27.12.2021. Later there were also restrictions in the Sea of Bothnia, the Gulf of Finland and the Gulf of Riga. Several icebreakers were deployed for navigational assistance. Navigational restrictions for the Saimaa Canal were in place from 02.01.2021 and from 08.01.2021 to 23.03.2021 the Saimaa Canal and Lake Saimaa were closed for traffic. The traffic separation scheme in the Quark was out of use between January 19th and April 9th. Transit traffic west of Holmöarna was prohibited from February 1st to March 29th.

5 Ice winter severity of the Baltic Sea

The ice winter severity for the entire Baltic Sea is determined by the maximum ice extent. This was reached on February 15th 2021 and was 127000 km2 according to the Swedish and Finnish Ice Service (SMHI and FMI, respectively). From the ice charts of the BSH the maximum ice extent was 120373 km2 . The differences in the ice extent stem from different land masks, differences in satellite data interpretation as well as different methods of determining the maximum ice extent, but the generally follow the same trend. This is shown by a time series of the maximum ice extent from the Finnish Ice Service and the BSH in Figure 12.
Figure 12 Maximum ice extent from the Finnish ice service and the BSH 1961-2021.
The boundaries of the different ice winter severities (black lines in Figure 12) are determined with the method from Nusser [3]. The ice winter 2020/21 was a weak ice winter according to this classification. According to the Swedish Ice Service this winter is classified as a normal ice winter (115000 km2 to 230000 km2) on a three fold scala of mild, normal and strong. After the record low ice extent in 2020 the extent in this winter was therefore relatively normal.
For the entire area covered by the ice charts issued from the BSH (Baltic Sea with the Swedish lakes Mälaren and Vänern, Skagerrak and North Sea up to the IJsselmeer) the maximum ice extent was reached on February 14th 2021 with 131424 km2 .

6 Reporting of the BSH

The BSH informed about ice conditions and expected ice development in the entire Baltic Sea and German coastal waters by the following reports and ice charts:

106 Ice reports (Amtsblatt, official report issued Monday - Friday)
19 German Ice Reports (Information about ice conditions in German fairways)
19 Baltic Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
14 North Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
21 Weekly reports (Review and outlook of the ice situation)
21 Ice charts of the entire Baltic Sea (once per week)
12 Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)
11 Ice charts of the German Baltic Sea coast (up to daily)

7 Bibliography

[1] Deutscher Wetterdienst, 2021: Deutschlandwetter im Winter 2020/21 [Pressemeldung], https://www.dwd.de/DE/presse/pressemitteilungen/DE/2021/20210226_deutschlandwetter_winter2020_2021_news.html
[2] Koslowski, G., 1989: Die flächenbezogene Eisvolumensumme, eine neue Maßzahl für die Bewertung des Eiswinters an der Ostseeküste Schleswig-Holsteins und ihr Zusammenhang mit dem Charakter des meteorologischen Winters. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 42, 61-80
[3] Nusser, F., 1948: Die Eisverhältnisse des Winters 1947/48 an den deutschen Küsten. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 1, 149–156

Appendix

A. Ice conditions at the German coasts

Table A1 Characteristics of the ice observing stations at the Baltic Sea winter 2020/21.
Table A2 Characteristics of the ice observing stations at the North Sea winter 2020/21.

B. Baltic Sea ice codes German stations

Figure B1 Baltic Sea ice codes from German stations - Part 1.
Figure B2 Baltic Sea ice codes from German stations - Part 2.
Figure B3 Baltic Sea ice codes from German stations - Part 3.
Figure B4 Baltic Sea ice codes from German stations - Part 4.

The ice winter 2021/2022 at the German coasts and the Baltic Sea

Table of Content

1 Overview of the ice winter 2021/22

The ice winter 2021/2022 at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coast was a weak ice winter. Noticeable ice formation occurred only in sheltered places along the Baltic Sea coast and the Szczecin Lagoon for a short-period at the end of December. Warm temperatures at the turn of the year quickly ended the ice occurrence. The ice winter for the entire Baltic Sea was a weak ice winter with respect to the maximum sea ice extent. The length of the ice season in the northern part of the Bay of Bothnia from the first ice formation in October to the melting of the last ice beginning of June was comparatively long. In other regions of the Baltic Sea the ice season was mostly shorter than on average.

2 The ice winter at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coast

2.1 Weather conditions at the German coastal areas

The winter 2021/22 in Germany was the eleventh winter in a row that was too warm [1]. This is underlined by the comparison of the monthly mean air temperatures with the long-term mean values of the reference period 1981-2010 for four weather stations along the German coast in Table 1. All monthly mean values were above the values of the reference period. The largest deviation occurred for January and February was the with 2.8 °C to 3.8 °C. For December and March the deviations were around 0.4 °C to 1.3 °C.

Table 1 Monthly mean air temperatures and their deviation from the reference period 1981-2010. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (www.dwd.de).

The weather situation during the winter is shown in more detail by the daily mean air temperatures of these four weather stations in Figure 1. In December warmer and colder periods were alternating and the first daily mean air temperatures below freezing occurred around 10th December 2021 at the eastern stations. However, temperatures increased significantly after this short cold period. Cold airmasses of Polar origin reached Germany around the 20th December 2021 [2]. At all four stations, daily mean temperatures below 0 °C occurred some days later (see areas highlighted in blue in Figure 1). Particularly cold temperatures were measured at the stations in Schleswig and Greifswald. There was mostly moderate frost with severe frost at places and permanent frost occurred locally. Around the turn of the year temperatures rose quickly and two-digit daily mean air temperatures were reached at places. Daily mean air temperatures remained, with only a few exemptions, above the freezing point for the rest of the winter. Only at the beginning of March, there were a few days with night frost and generally colder temperatures.

Figure 1 Daily mean air temperatures of selected stations along the German coast. Highlighted in blue are days with daily mean temperatures below the freezing point. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD).

The number of ice days, days with maximum temperature below 0 °C, and the cold sum, the absolute value of the sum of negative daily mean temperatures, for a number of weather stations are shown in Figure 2. The number of ice days in the winter 2021/22 is mostly lower than the number in previous winters; only Greifswald and Greifswalder Oie had more ice days than 2018/19. The very warm winter of 2019/20 had no ice days at all. The cold sum is a measure for the strength of the winter. The last four winters are all classified as a mild winter with a cold sum below 100 for the months November to March.

Figure 2 Number of ice days and cold sum for selected stations along the German coast.

The water temperatures along the coast are shown in the Figures 3-5. In November and December, the water temperatures decreased constantly. The air temperature variabilities in December are also reflected in the water temperatures and most pronounced in the Bodden waters and the Szczecin Lagoon. Most of the stations reach their minimum temperature with the cold weather period at the end of December. Along the North Sea coast and the outer coastal areas, the water temperatures stayed well above 0°C for the entire winter and remained constant throughout January and February before water temperatures started rising end of March. In the Bodden waters around Rügen and the Szczecin Lagoon water temperatures below 0°C were measured during the cold period at the end of December (see areas highlighted in blue in Figure 6). In those waters temperatures started to raise slowly mid/end January and then significantly in the second half of March. The water temperatures show that ice formation was only possible in sheltered places and for a very short period. At the outer coast and the North Sea coast temperatures were too high for ice formation.

Figure 3 Water temperatures along the German North Sea coast. Data source: Norderney and Cuxhaven - Deutsche Gesellschaft zur Rettung Schiffbrüchiger; Büsum - Schleuse Büsum, Brunsbüttel - WSA Brunsbüttel; Blankenese - Institut für Hygiene und Umwelt.
Figure 4 Water temperatures along the outer coast of the Baltic Sea. Quellen: Warnemünde, Sassnitz, Travemünde - WSA Ostsee; Koserow - Staatliches Amt für Landwirtschaft und Umwelt Mittleres Mecklenburg.
Figure 5 Water temperatures in the Bodden waters of the Darß and around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon. Data source: Karlshagen, Karnin, Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Sassnitz - WSA Ostsee.

2.2 Ice conditions at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts

The ice winter 2021/22 in the German coastal waters was a very short one. With the cold weather period end of December and the accordingly low air temperatures ice formation started in the Schlei at 21st December 2021 and in the harbour of Wismar on 22nd December 2021. At first the ice could not persist and around 25th/26th December 2021 ice formation started in sheltered places along the coast of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the Schlei and the Flensburg Fjord. The ice situation along the eastern coast at 27th December 2021 is nicely shown in an optical image of Sentinel-2 (Figure 6) and a radar image of Sentinel-1 (Figure 7). In the optical image, ice formation is visible by white structures with a dark background especially in the Szczecin Lagoon. In the Darß-Zingst Bodden Chain ice formation is hardly noticable in the image without zooming in. In the radar image, the ice formation at the Szczecin Lagoon, the Darß-Zingst Bodden Chain and the Salzhaff is clearly visible by the darker tone that is caused by dampening of surface waves due to ice formation.

Figure 6 Sentinel-2 image of the Szczecin Lagoon and the Bodden waters from 27.12.2021 [Copernicus Sentinel data 2021].

Figure 7 Sentinel-1 radar image of the German Baltic Sea coast from 27.12.2021 [Copernicus Sentinel data 2021].


At the North Sea coast, ice was only observed at the harbours of Büsum, Husum and Emden after the Christmas holidays. With significantly warmer temperatures above the freezing point and partly rainy weather over the turn of the year the ice vanished quickly. Only in the Szczecin Lagoon ice persisted at places until 4th January 2022. Due to the relative cold air temperatures and persistent frost for a few days, the ice reached up to 10 cm thickness in sheltered areas. The cold temperatures with night frost at the beginning of March caused some new ice formation in the Flensburg Fjord, the Schlei and the harbour of Wismar. The ice did mostly not survive the day.

The course of the ice winter is also reflected by the daily areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast, respectively; shown in Figure 8. The two short periods of ice formation at the end of December and beginning of March in the Baltic Sea and at the end of December in the North Sea are clearly visible. The ice climatological stations are Borkum/Westerems, Emden (Ems and outer harbour), Norderney/Seegat, Wangerooge/wadden, Hohe Weg/lighthouse, Brake (Weser), Helgoland, Stadersand/Elbe, Brunsbüttel, Hamburg/Landungsbrücken, Husum (harbour), Amrum/Schmaltief und Tönning (harbour) for the North Sea and Koserow, Arkona, Landtiefrinne, Vierendehlrinne, Warnemünde/sea area, Rostock-Warnemünde, Walfisch-Timmendorf, Travemünde-Lübeck, Marienleuchte/sea area, Westermarkelsdorf/sea area, Eckernförde (harbour), Schleimünde-Schleswig und Flensburg-Holnis for the Baltic Sea. The areal ice volume sum is a characteristic number to determine the ice winter strength along the German coasts, which is calculated from the ice concentration, the ice thickness and the duration of the ice occurrence [3]. Husum (harbour) was the only climatological station at the North Sea that reported ice during this winter. In the Baltic Sea, Flensburg-Holnis and Schleimünde-Schleswig were the only stations to report ice. The choice of the climatological stations diminishes the difference between the two short cold weather periods because the stations in the Szczecin Lagoon and the inner Bodden waters are not considered in the calculation of the areal ice volume sum.

Figure 8 Daily areal ice volume sum of the 13 climatological ice stations at the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast, respectively.
Overall 20 of 123 ice stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast reported ice during the winter 2021/22. The most days with ice were reported at the station Flensburg-Holnis with 11 days and at the Schlei with 10 days. At the North Sea coast Emden (Binnenhafen) reported 4 days with ice. An overview of all German ice observation stations that reported ice this winter is given in the appendices A und B.

2.3 Navigational conditions at the North Sea and Baltic Sea

Navigation in German coastal waters was not noticable impacted by the ice conditions in the winter 2021/22. Small craft and leisure boat traffic was locally hampered by the ice conditions.

2.4 Ice winter severity

The ice winter severity at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts is determined by the accumulated areal ice volume sum of the 13 respective ice climatological ice stations (see 2.2). The accumulated areal ice volume sum of the winter 2021/22 is shown in Figure 9 for the North Sea and Baltic Sea. At the North Sea an areal ice volume of 0.004 m and at the Baltic Sea of 0.026 m is obtained. Therefore, these were the tenth weak ice winters in a row at the North Sea and Baltic Sea, as shown in Figures 9 and 10. The black lines in the figures denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.
Figure 9 Accumulated areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological stations at the North and Baltic Sea coast, respectively.
Figure 10 Time series of ice volume sum at the German Baltic Sea coast since 1879. The black lines denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.
Figure 11 Time series of the ice volume sum at the German North Sea Coast since 1897. The black lines denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.
At the Baltic sea coast, 20 winters of the time series from 1878/79 (142 years) were milder or equal than the winter 2021/22. At the North Sea, 18 winters were milder or equal since 1896/97 (125 years). The time series shows that with exception of the winter 2009/10 at the Baltic Sea there has not been a severe ice winter at the German coastal waters since the start of the new millennium.

3 Ice conditions in the western and southern Baltic Sea, Kattegat and Skagerrak

In the Skagerrak, ice has formed locally in sheltered bays along the Norwegian coast and sporadically along the Swedish coast from December into March. At a few very sheltered places, thicker fast ice occurred along the Norwegian coast. Along the Danish islands and coast, new ice formed occassionally during the winter but never survived a longer period. In the southern Baltic Sea, ice formed in the Szczecin Lagoon around 26th December 2021. The last ice melted shortly after New Year. Along the outer coasts of the southern and southeastern Baltic Sea and the southern Swedish coast no noteworthy ice has formed during the winter. Navigation was mostly unobstructed. Only in some smaller Norwegian fjords navigation was impeded or temporarily closed due to the ice conditions.

4 Ice conditions in the northern Baltic Sea

The ice season in the northern Baltic Sea was comparatively long. The first ice formed in the northern Bay of Bothnia end of October and the last ice disappeared there by the beginning of June. Further south, ice formation started earlier than usual at places but the ice season was mostly shorter than expected. Comparatively little ice formed at sea this winter. In the coastal regions however, the ice remained more or less continuously throughout the winter season. The first ice of the season formed in the northern Bay of Bothnia by the end of October. But it was not before the end of November that ice formed outside sheltered coastal areas. At that time, ice formation started also further south along the coasts of the southern Bay of Bothnia and the northern Sea of Bothnia, sheltered areas in Norra Kvarken as well as in Lake Mälaren. New ice formation in the eastern Gulf of Finland and the northern Gulf of Riga started early December. In the course of December ice formation was mostly limited to the coastal areas. The ice continuously persisted in those areas and the first fast ice formed in the northern Bay of Bothnia, Norra Kvarken and the eastern Gulf of Finland. With the beginning of January ice formation extended further out at sea in the Bay of Bothnia and the eastern Gulf of Finland. The ice could not persist at sea in the north, because higher winds destroyed the new ice or the ice drifted away. In the Gulf of Finland, the ice extended to approximately the island Seskar. At the end of January/beginning of February cold temperatures facilitated ice formation and ice growth and the maximum ice extent was reached on 3rd/4th February 2022. The ice situation at that time is shown by the BSH ice chart of 3rd February 2022 in Figure 12. At that time, the entire Bay of Bothnia and Norra Kvarken were covered by 5–20 cm thick ice, but at places the drift ice was up to 50 cm thick. Along the coast, there was up to 70 cm thick fast ice. In the Sea of Bothnia, there was fast ice along the coast and new ice further out in the east. The sea however was ice free. In the Gulf of Finland, there was fast ice along the northern and eastern coast and at sea, there was 5–30 cm thick drift ice up to the lighthouse Rodser. In the northeastern Gulf of Riga, there was thin ice in Väinameri and drift ice from Saaremaa to Pärnu. Along the Swedish coast of the northern Baltic, there was new ice at places. Further south there were only remnants of ice in the Curonian Lagoon.

Figure 12 Ice chart from 3rd February 2022 of the Baltic Sea issued by BSH.
The ice situation did not significantly change during the course of February and beginning of March. However, the edge of the drift ice in the Bay of Bothnia and eastern Gulf of Finland retreated slightly to the north and east, respectively. South of Norra Kvarken with the exception of the eastern Gulf of Finland, sea ice was mostly restricted to coastal areas. In the southern parts, thawing started around mid-March and the ice slowly started to melt in the Gulf of Riga and the southern Swedish coast. In the Bay of Bothnia, the drift ice moved northwards during March and reached a thickness of up to 70 cm by the end of the month. The fast ice in the area was up to 85 cm thick. In the eastern Gulf of Finland, the up to 30 cm thick drift ice at sea extended approximately to the island Moščnyj before it drifted further east beginning of April. The fast ice in the eastern Gulf of Finland was up to 45 cm thick. The last ice in the Gulf of Riga vanished in the Bay of Pärnu mid of April. While the harbour of St. Petersburg was ice free 20th April 2022, the ice in the Gulf of Finland, the Archipelago Sea and the Sea of Bothnia vanished end of April/beginning of May. At that time, there was still a larger area of thick drift ice from about Simpgrund/Falkensgrund to the Finnish coast. Off the fast ice in the north and west, there was mainly open water with some single floes. During May, the ice slowly melted in the Bay of Bothnia. In the west, the ice vanished much quicker than in the east, because westerly winds held the drifting ice at the eastern coast. Mid of May the western coast was mostly ice free, while there was still very close drift ice along the Finnish coast from Raahe to Kalajoki. The last ice melted by 3rd June 2022.
Restrictions of navigation regarding ice class and ship size/deadweight in the northern Bay of Bothnia were in place from 4th December 2021 to the 25th May 2022. At times, there were also restrictions in the Sea of Bothnia, the Gulf of Finland and the Gulf of Riga. Several icebreakers were deployed for navigational assistance. The Saimaa Canal was closed from 30th January 2022 to 30th April 2022. The traffic separation scheme in Norra Kvarken was out of use from 15th January to 2nd May 2022.

5 Ice winter severity of the Baltic Sea

The ice winter severity of the entire Baltic Sea is determined by the maximum ice extent. The maximum ice extent was reached on 4th February 2022 according to the Finnish and Swedish ice services and was about 93000 km2. The maximum ice extent in the ice charts of the BSH was reached on 3rd February with 87410 km2. The differences in the ice extent stem from different land masks, differences in satellite data interpretation as well as different methods of determining the maximum ice extent, but the generally follow the same trend. This is shown by a time series of maximum sea ice extent from the Finnish Ice Service and the BSH in Figure 13.
Figure 13 Maximum ice extent from the Finnish ice service and the BSH 1961-2022.
The boundaries of the different ice winter severities from extremely weak to extremely strong winters (black lines in Figure 13) are determined with the method from Nusser [4]. The winter 2021/2022 was a weak ice winter according to this classification, but was just above the border to an extremely weak winter. In a threepart classification from mild to strong of the Swedish and Finnish ice services this winter was a mild ice winter (< 115000 km2). The maximum ice extent is slightly smaller than the last winter.

6 Reporting of the BSH

The BSH informed about ice conditions and expected ice development in the entire Baltic Sea and German coastal waters by the following reports and ice charts:

  1. Ice reports (Amtsblatt, official report issued Monday - Friday)
  2. German Ice Reports (Information about ice conditions in German fairways)
  3. Baltic Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
  4. North Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
  5. Weekly reports (Review and outlook of the ice situation)
  6. Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)
  7. Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)
  8. Ice charts of the German Baltic Sea coast (up to daily)

Bibliography

  1. Deutscher Wetterdienst (2022, 28. Februar), Deutschlandwetter im Winter 2021/22 [Pressemitteilung], https://www.dwd.de/DE/presse/pressemitteilungen/DE/2022/20220228_deutschlandwetter_winter2022_news.html
  2. Haeseler, S., Der Wetterlotse, Ausgabe 6/2021, Deutscher Wetterdienst
  3. Koslowski, G., 1989: Die flächenbezogene Eisvolumensumme, eine neue Maßzahl für die Bewertung des Eiswinters an der Ostseeküste Schleswig-Holsteins und ihr Zusammenhang mit dem Charakter des meteorologischen Winters. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 42, 61-80
  4. Nusser, F., 1948: Die Eisverhältnisse des Winters 1947/48 an den deutschen Küsten. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 1, 149–156

Appendix

A. Ice conditions at the German coasts

Table A1 Characteristics of the German ice observing stations winter 2021/22.

B. Baltic Sea ice codes German stations

Figure B1 Baltic Sea ice codes from German stations winter 2021/22.

The ice winter 2022/2023 at the German coasts and the Baltic Sea

Wiebke Aldenhoff

Table of Content

1 Overview of the ice winter 2022/23

The ice winter 2022/23 at the German North and Baltic Sea coasts was the eleventh weak ice winter and the twelfth too warm winter in a row. Noteworthy ice formation along the coasts occurred only during a cold period in December. At the Baltic Sea coast, a closed ice cover formed in the Szczecin Lagoon and the Bodden waters around Rügen and the Darß. Else, there was mostly new ice and some thicker ice at sheltered places along the coast. In the North Sea, new ice formed occasionally. In the beginning of February some marginal ice was present along the shores in the Bodden waters.
The ice winter in the Baltic Sea was a mild ice winter regarding the ice extent. Nevertheless, at the time of maximum ice extent the Bay of Bothnia, the coast of the Sea of Bothnia, the Gulf of Finland to Gogland and the north-eastern part of the Gulf of Riga were covered with ice. In the Bay of Bothnia, the ice season was slightly longer than usual; further south however it was mostly shorter.

2 The ice winter at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coast

2.1 Weather conditions at the German coastal areas

The winter 2022/2023 was the twelfth too warm winter in Germany in a row [1]. This is underlined by the comparison of the monthly mean air temperatures with the reference period from 1981–2010. These are shown in Table 1 for the four stations Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde und Greifswald. With the exception of December 2022, all monthly mean temperatures were higher than in the reference period. Especially in January and February 2023 it was significantly warmer than usual. The monthly mean temperatures were 3 °C to 3.7 °C and 1.9 °C to 3.1°C, respectively, warmer than usual. In December, however, it was colder than usual along the east coast with deviations from -0.3 °C to 0 °C from the reference period. In the North Sea, monthly mean temperatures were only slightly warmer.

Table 1 Monthly mean air temperatures and their deviation from the reference period 1981-2010. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (www.dwd.de).
  November December January February March
  T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT
Norderney 8.20 1.60 3.70 0.20 5.60 3.00 5.70 3.10 6.40 1.50
Schleswig 6.90 1.90 2.00 -0.00 4.40 3.10 4.00 2.60 5.10 1.30
Warnemünde 7.20 1.60 2.10 -0.30 4.90 3.40 3.70 1.90 5.70 1.50
Greifswald 6.40 1.70 1.10 -0.30 4.30 3.70 3.00 2.00 5.20 1.50

The weather situation during the winter is shown in more detail by the daily mean air temperature for the four stations Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde and Greifswald from November 2022 to April 2023 in Figure 1. At the beginning of November, the daily mean air temperatures were in the two-digit range. With the beginning of the last third of November, first negative daily mean temperatures were observed along the Baltic Sea coast but temperatures quickly rose again. Towards the end of the first third of December, temperatures were dropping quickly by the influence of polar air and permanent frost occurred locally [2]. These weather conditions lasted until 18 December 2022. Afterwards the trough of a low-pressure system caused quickly rising temperatures and rain. Daily mean temperatures increases of up to 10 °C within two days were quite common. In the following time, daily mean temperatures stayed well above the freezing point and at the turn of the year, they were in the two-digit positive range. The warm weather continued in the beginning of January. Towards the end of the second third of January, temperatures fell again and locally daily mean temperatures below the freezing point occurred. In the beginning of February, there was a period of colder temperatures followed by daily mean temperatures mostly above the freezing point. At the beginning of March, temperatures were colder again but stayed well above the freezing point afterwards.

Daily mean temperatures from December 2022 to April 2023 for Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde und Greifswald. Explanations in the text.
Figure 1 Daily mean air temperatures of selected stations along the German coast. Highlighted in blue are days with daily mean temperatures below the freezing point. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD).

Figure 2 shows the number of ice days, days with maximum temperature below the freezing point, and the cold sum, absolute value of the negative daily mean temperatures, of the stations Emden, Norderney, List, St. Peter Ording, Hamburg Fuhlsbüttel, Schleswig, Warnemünde, Greifswald, Arkona and Greifswalder Oie for the last four winters. In comparison with the last winters, the winter 2022/23 had more ice days than 2019/20 and 2021/22, but mostly fewer ice days than the winter 2020/21. The same pattern is reflected by the cold sum. The cold sum is also a mesure for the strength of a winter. The last four winters of the listed stations are all classified as a mild winter with a cold sum below 100.

Number of ice days and the cold sum for 10 stations along the German coast for the last four winters. Explanations in the text.
Figure 2 Number of ice days and cold sum for selected stations along the German coast.

If sea ice forms, depends on the water temperature. Sea ice formation may start once the freezing point is reached. For saline water, the freezing point is below 0°C. Besides the temperature, the sea state also affects the formation of ice as ice formation may be delayed on rough seas. The water temperatures in depths of 1 m to 1.5 m of the stations Büsum (Schleuse), Brunsbüttel, Cuxhaven and Norderney in the North Sea are shown in Figure 3. The water temperatures for the staions Travemünde, Warnemünde, Sassnitz and Koserow (depths from 1.5 to 3 m) along the Baltic sea coast and for the stations Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Karlshagen and Karnin in the Bodden waters and the western Szczecin Lagoon in 0.5 m depths are shown in Figure 4 and Figure 5, respectively. The water temperatures generally follow the pattern of the air temperature. In November, the temperatures continuously fell in all coastal areas. The cold period in December with the following higher air temperatures are well represented in the water temperatures of all stations. All stations reach their minimum water temperature during the cold period in December. Sub-zero temperatures are however only recorded for stations with the smallest sensor depths of 0.5 m in Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast and Karnin located in the Bodden waters and the Szczecin lagoon. In the further course of the winter temperatures stayed between 0 °C and 5 °C along the Baltic sea coast and around 5 °C along the North Sea coast. Generllay the water temperatures changed little throughout the rest of the winter and were following the patterns of the air temperature. Water temperatures started to increase continuously around mid-March.

Water temperatures from November to April of the stations Büsum(Schleuse), Brunsbüttel, Cuxhaven and Norderney along the North Sea coast.
Figure 3 Water temperatures along the German North Sea coast. Data source: Norderney and Cuxhaven - Deutsche Gesellschaft zur Rettung Schiffbrüchiger; Büsum - Schleuse Büsum, Brunsbüttel - WSA Brunsbüttel; Blankenese - Institut für Hygiene und Umwelt.
Water temperatures from November to April of the stations Travemünde, Warnemünde, Sassnitz and Koserow along the Baltic Sea coast.
Figure 4 Water temperatures along the outer coast of the Baltic Sea. Quellen: Warnemünde, Sassnitz, Travemünde - WSA Ostsee; Koserow - Staatliches Amt für Landwirtschaft und Umwelt Mittleres Mecklenburg.
Water temperatures from November to April of the stations Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Karlshagen, Karnin in the Bodden waters and the Szczecin Lagoon.
Figure 5 Water temperatures in the Bodden waters of the Darß and around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon. Data source: Karlshagen, Karnin, Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Sassnitz - WSA Ostsee.

2.2 Ice conditions at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts

In accordance with the weather conditions, the ice winter 2022/23 was a mild ice winter. Noteworthy ice formation along the German coasts only occurred during the cold period in December. At that time, a closed ice layer formed in the Szczecin Lagoon, the river Peene with the Achterwasser, the Bodden waters around Rügen, the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain and the Schlei. Ice also formed in sheltered places along the Baltic Sea and North Sea coasts. In the first third of February, some ice formed along the shores in sheltered inner waters around Rügen and the Achterwasser as well as in a few harbours.
The first ice of the season occurred at places along the Baltic sea coast around 10 December 2022. Ice formation along the entire coast started around 13/14 December 2022. At the North sea, ice fromation started around 15/16 December 2022. Figure 6 shows the ice situation from Fehmarn to the Szczecin Lagoon on 17 December 2022 by a Sentinel-2 optical image. The ice in the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the river Peene and the western part of the Szczecin Lagoon are already covered by a layer of snow and is therefore almost indistinguishable from the surrounding snow covered land. Thinner ice around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon is represented by a more greyish tone while very thin ice is hardly distinguishable from the water without zooming in. On a closer look, some lighter thin features are visible that occur i.e. when thin ice gets rafted. 17 December 2022 is just before the maximum ice extent of the winter is reached on 19 December 2022 and the ice situation didn't change much the following days.

Sentinel-2 optical image of the German coast from Fehmarn to the Szczecin Lagoon 17 December 2022.
Figure 6 Sentinel-2 image of the Szczecin Lagoon and the Bodden waters from 17.12.2022 [Copernicus Sentinel data 2022, processed by SentinelHub]. The ice in the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the river Peene and the western part of the Szczecin Lagoon are already covered by a layer of snow and is therefore almost indistinguishable from the surrounding snow covered land. Thinner ice around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon is represented by a more greyish tone while very thin ice is hardly distinguishable from the water without zooming in.
Figure 7 shows a Sentinel-1 radar image of the German Baltic Sea coast from the Flensburg Firth to the Szczecin Lagoon 20 December 2022. The picture was taken one day after the maximum ice extent. The ice is clearly visible by its darker tone compared to the open water especially in the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the Bodden waters around Rügen, the river Peene and the Szczecin Lagoon. The uniform dark tone of the ice shows that thawing has started on the ice surface. The fairway towards Szczecin in the Szczecin Lagoon is visible as a bright line because of small ice floes and fragments of ice that originate from breaking the ice.
Figure 7 Sentinel-1 radar image of the German Baltic Sea coast from 20.12.2022 [Copernicus Sentinel data 2022, processed by SentinelHub]. The ice is clearly visible by its darker tone compared to the open water especially in the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the Bodden waters around Rügen, the river Peene and the Szczecin Lagoon.


The thin ice in the North Sea quickly vanished with significantly raising temperatures and rain starting on 19 December 2022. Along the Baltic Sea coast of Schleswig-Holstein with exceopt of the inner Schlei, the ice also thawed quickly and most of it was gone by 20 December 2022. Along the coast of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the ice persisted slightly longer especially in sheltered areas of the Bodden waters and the Szczecin Lagoon. Most of the ice was gone by 27 December 2022. In the Achterwassser and along the northern shore of the Szczecin Lagoon some ice remnants were present until the turn of the year. The last station that reported ice was Kamminke (harbour and vicinity) on 27 December 2022. The maximum ice thicknesses were reached in the Bodden waters and the Szczecin lagoon with about 10 cm and thicker ice at a few places. This thicker ice in sheltered places remained until the end of the ice season.
The course of the ice winter is also reflected by the daily areal ice volume sum. The areal ice volume sum is a measure to determine the ice winter strength that depends on the ice thickness, the ice concentration and the duration of the ice occurance
[3]. The ice volume sum is calclated at 13 ice climate stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast, respectively. Along the North Sea coast the following stations are used for the calculation: Borkum/Westerems, Emden (Ems and outer harbour), Norderney/Seegat, Wangerooge/wadden, Lighthouse Hohe Weg, Brake (Weser), Helgoland, Stadersand/Elbe, Brunsbüttel, Hamburg/Landungsbrücken, Husum (harbour), Amrum/Schmaltief and Tönning (harbour). Along the Baltic Sea coast the following stations are used: Koserow, Arkona, Landtiefrinne, Vierendehlrinne, Warnemünde/sea area, Rostock-Warnemünde, Walfisch-Timmendorf, Travemünde-Lübeck, Marienleuchte/sea area, Westermarkelsdorf/sea area, Eckernförde (harbour), Schleimünde-Schleswig and Flensburg-Holnis. The only station to report ice in the North Sea for the ice winter 2023 was Wangerooge/wadden. In the Baltic Sea, ice was observed at five stations: Vierendehlrinne, Rostock-Warnemünde, Walfisch-Timmendorf, Travemünde-Lübeck and Flensburg-Holnis. In Figure 8 the daily ice volume sum is shown for the North Sea and the Baltic Sea.

Daily ice volume sum for the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast. Explanations in the text.
Figure 8 Daily areal ice volume sum of the 13 climatological ice stations at the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast, respectively.
The short period of ice formation in the North Sea is reflected by the ice volume sum that is only present at four days from 16-19 December 2022. At the Baltic Sea coast, the daily ice volume sum increased continuously from 10 December 2022 until the start of the melting period on 19 December 2022. Afterwards the daily ice volume sum rapidly declined and no ice climate station reported ice after 26 December 2022. Henceforth the ice volume sum is a good measure for the course of the ice winter. The Bodden waters and western Szczecin Lagoon are not included in the climate stations as sea ice usually forms in these areas even in mild winters and they are therefore not a good climate indicator.
Overall, 54 of 123 ice stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast reported ice during the winter 2022/23. Twelve of these stations were located in the North Sea and 42 in the Baltic Sea. The most days with ice were observed at the station Barth with 16 days and at the stations Althagen and Kamminke(harbour and vicinity) with 15 days. In the North Sea, four days of ice were observed at the stations of Büsum (harbour, Norderpiep and Süderpiep) and Wangerooge (wadden und Harle). An overview of all German ice observation stations that reported ice this winter is given in the appendices A und B.

2.3 Navigational conditions at the North Sea and Baltic Sea

Navigation in German coastal waters was no significantly impacted by the ice conditions in the winter 2022/23. At times ferry traffic in the western area of Rügen operated in an open lead without assistance. Some ice breaking was done in the river Peene by a multi-purpose vessel. Small and leisure boat traffic was affected by the ice conditions in areas with a closed ice cover in the Bodden waters, the river Peene and the Szczecin Lagoon.

2.4 Ice winter severity

The ice winter severity along the German coasts is determined by the accumulated areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climate stations for the North Ses and Blatic Sea (see 2.2). The ice winters are than classified in five categories: weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe. The accumulated ice volume sum for both coasts is shown in Figure 9. The ice volume sum in the North Sea 2022/23 was 0.006 m and the ice winter was therfore a weak ice winter. The winter in the Baltic Sea was also a weak ice winter with an ice volume sum of 0.1 m. The ice winter 2022/23 at both coasts were the eleventh weak ice winters in a row.
Accumulated areal ice volume sum for the North Sea and Baltic Sea in the ice winter 2022/23.
Figure 9 Accumulated areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological stations at the North and Baltic Sea coast, respectively.
The time series of the accumulated ice volume sum at the German Baltic Sea coast since 1879 is shown in Figure 10. Over the entire period of 145 years, 29 winters were milder or equal and 115 winters were stronger than this year's ice winter. There was no severe ice winter since 2010 and the last very severe ice winter was 1996.
Time series of ice volume sum from 1879 for the Baltic Sea.
Figure 10 Time series of ice volume sum at the German Baltic Sea coast since 1879. The black lines denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.
Figure 11 shows the time series of the accumulated ice volume sum for the North Sea coast since 1897. Over the entire period of 127 years 19 winter were weaker or equal and 107 winter were stronger. The last severe winter was 1996 and the last very severe winter was in 1979. Overall, there has been only one severe winter at the Baltic Sea coast since the turn of the millenium. All other winters since then have been weak or moderate.
Time series of ice volume sum from 1897 for the North Sea.
Figure 11 Time series of the ice volume sum at the German North Sea Coast since 1897. The black lines denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.

3 Ice conditions in the western and southern Baltic Sea, Kattegat and Skagerrak

In the Skagerrak and Kattegat, ice that was mostly thin occurred only occasionally during the winter. Yet, in some inner fjords and sheltered areas along the Norwegian coast fast ice formed and persisted at places from mid-December to beginning of April. In Danish waters and along the Swedish south coast to Kalmar in the north, there was some new ice during the cold period in December. In the lagoons from the Polish to the Lithuanian coast, an up to 10 cm thick, closed ice cover formed during December. Ice formation in the Curonian Lagoon started slightly earlier than in the more western lagoons. The Szczecin Lagoon was ice-free by the end of December except of some ice remnants along the northern shore. In the Vistula Lagoon, the ice persisted until the beginning of January. In the Curonian Lagoon most of the ice was gone by mid-January but some drifting ice survided to the end of January. At Sea, no significant ice formed from the Skagerrak to the Southeast Baltic Sea. Therfore, there were no restrictions or obstructions to navigation in the area. At some coastal areas with closed ice cover and in places along the Norwegian coast, small boats and leisure crafts were affected by the ice.

4 Ice conditions in the northern Baltic Sea

The ice season in the entire Baltic Sea was overall a mild one, eventhough the Bay of Bothnia and the Quark were at times completely covered by ice. Further south from the Sea of Bothnia to the Central Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Riga there was almost no ice formation outside the coastal areas. In the Gulf of Finland, drift ice was most of the winter only present in the eastern part.
The ice season in the Baltic Sea started in the northern Bay of Bothnia on 15 November 2022. First at the end of November ice formation advanced further south to the Quark. In the Gulf of Finland ice formation started around 20 November 2022 in St. Petersburg and the Bay of Vyborg. In the Gulf of Riga, the first ice occurred around 5 December 2022 in the Bay of Pärnu and the Väinameri. With the cold period in the second third of December, ice formation in coastal areas extended southward to the Western Baltic. At that time, the first ice also formed on Lake Mälaren and Lake Vänern.
In the Western and Southern Baltic the ice vanished by the end of December and in the Southeastern Baltic some ice remnants were present to the end of January. Meanwhile the ice extent in the Bay of Bothnia and the Gulf of Finland increased only slowly during January. Southerly winds brought warmer temperatures and the ice was compacted along the northern shores. In the beginning of February, ice formation increased in the northern and eastern Baltic Sea. Strong southerly/southeasterly winds however forced the drift ice consistently northwards/northeastwards so that no closed ice cover could form in these areas. From mid-February onwards, the ice cover in the northern Baltic Sea extended continuously and finally reached its maximum on 12 March 2023. The ice chart with the maximum ice extent issued by the BSH on 8 March 2023 is shown in Figure 12. March was colder than usual especially in the Bay of Bothnia so that the ice extent steadily increased in the first half of March.

 Ice chart of maximum sea ice extent in the Baltic Sea at 8 March 2023.
Figure 12 Ice chart of maximum sea ice extent on 8 March 2023 of the Baltic Sea issued by BSH.
At the time of maximum ice extent, the entire Bay of Bothnia was covered by level or very close ice. In the Quark, there was close to very close ice at sea. Along the Swedish coast, new ice formed in coastal areas all the way to the Northern Baltic in the south and fast ice or level ice was present in sheltered bays. Along the entire Finnish coast, there was fast ice in inner bays and new ice further out. In the Gulf of Finlad, very close drift ice was present to about Gogland and thin open ice was present slightly further west. In the Gulf of Riga, there was thin ice in Väinameri, the Bay of Pärnu and along the coast in the Northeast. In Lake Mälaren, there was fast ice in the west and thin level ice elsewhere. In Lake Vänern new ice was present along the east coast.
In the Gulf of Riga and the Northern Baltic including Lake Vänern the ice vanished relatively quickly until the end of March. In Lake Mälaren some rotten ice persisted until mid-April. In the Gulf of Finland the ice cover decreased continously after reaching its maximum. Easterly winds in the first half of April pushed the ice westwards were it melted quickly. In the Sea of Åland, the Archipelago Sea and the Sea of Bothnia the sea ice decreased during April. By the end of April, the Baltic Sea up to the Quark was ice free except some rotten fast ice in sheltered bays along the Swedish coast. The Bay of Bothnia was covered area-wide with ice for some time after the maximum ice extent. Around mid-April, the ice drifted westward and a large lead with very open ice formed along the eastern coast. At the beginning of the last third of April melting started in the area and the drift ice started to open on a large scale. With the beginning of May, the ice at sea decreased quickly and the fast ice started to get rotten. Mid-May, there was only rotten fast ice in the northern part and at the end of May, the Baltic Sea was ice free. The fast ice in the Bay of Bothnia reached thicknesses of 70 cm and up to 40 cm in the Gulf of Finland. The drift ice in the north was up to 65 cm thick and up to 30 cm in the Gulf of Finland.
Restrictions for navigation were in place in the northern Bay of Bothnia from the beginning of December and the last restrictions were lifted at the end of May for the northernmost Finnish harbours. At times, there were also resrictions for harbours along the Swedish and Finnish coast as south as the Northern Baltic and for the port Pärnu in the Gulf of Riga. In the Gulf of Finland, there were restrictions for russian harbours for small boats from end of November to April and later for larger vessels to the harbours of Vysotsk and Vyborg. At times, there were also restrictions to the Finnsish harbours. The Saimaa Canal was closed from 9 January 2023 to 1 May 2023.

5 Ice winter severity of the Baltic Sea

The strength of the ice winter of the entire Baltic Sea is determined by the maximum ice extent. The maximum ice extent of the Baltic Sea according to the daily Swedish and Finnish ice charts (SMHI and FMI respectively) was reached on 12 March 2023 and was 83000 km2. The maximum ice extent of the weekly ice charts of the BSH was reached on 8 March 2023 and was 70058 km2. The relatively large difference in maximum ice extent is explained by the time difference between the two charts. New ice formed in the Gulf of Riga, the Gulf of Finland and along the Swedish coast of the Sea of Bothnia during the days. Furthermore, there are generally differences due to the subjective interpretation of satellite imagery and other information, differences in the calculation techniques and the chosen land masks.
A time series of the maximum ice extent from the FMI and the BSH since 1960 is shown in Figure 13. Both calculated maximum ice extents generally follow the same trend but are never equal.
Time series of maximum ice extent from FMI and BSH since 1960.
Figure 13 Maximum ice extent from the Finnish ice service and the BSH 1961-2022.
The classification of the ice winter in five categories from extreme weak to extreme srong is done according to the method of Nusser [4]. The ice winter 2022/23 was an extreme weak ice winter according to this classification. In a threepart classification from mild to strong of the Swedish and Finnish ice services this winter was a mild ice winter <115000 km2). The maximum in the second third of March was rather late in comparison with the last years but generally not exceptional. March was comparatively cold in the northern Baltic Sea. Furthermore, southerly winds in February brought warmer weather and the ice was pushed northwards so that no closed ice cover could form in the Bay of Bothnia. Besides the ice extent, the ice volume is also of interest. The maximum ice volume from the BSH ice charts was reached on 30 March 2023 with 14,7 km3. The maximum volume is reached later than the ice extent as ice growth continued in the north. Furthermore, there was a colder period at the end of March with some new ice as south as the Sea of Åland, so that the ice extent increased as well.

6 Reporting of the BSH

The BSH informed about ice conditions and expected ice development in the entire Baltic Sea and German coastal waters by the following reports and ice charts:

125
Ice reports (Amtsblatt, official report issued Monday - Friday)
9
German Ice Reports (Information about ice conditions in German fairways)<
11
Baltic Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
1
North Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
26
Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)<
0
Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)
2
Ice charts of the German Baltic Sea coast (up to daily)

The weekly report with a review and an outlook of the ice situation in the Baltic as well as with a glimpse of the ice situation at the poles is issued weekly throughout the year since 2022.

Bibliography

  1. Deutscher Wetterdienst (2023, 27. Februar), Deutschlandwetter im Winter 2022/23 [Pressemitteilung], https://www.dwd.de/DE/presse/pressemitteilungen/DE/2023/20230227_deutschlandwetter_winter22-23_news.html
  2. Deutscher Wetterdienst, Die Witterung in den deutschen Küstengebieten, https://www.dwd.de/DE/leistungen/witterungkueste/witterungkueste.html
  3. Koslowski, G., 1989: Die flächenbezogene Eisvolumensumme, eine neue Maßzahl für die Bewertung des Eiswinters an der Ostseeküste Schleswig-Holsteins und ihr Zusammenhang mit dem Charakter des meteorologischen Winters. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 42, 61-80
  4. Nusser, F., 1948: Die Eisverhältnisse des Winters 1947/48 an den deutschen Küsten. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 1, 149–156

Appendix

A. Ice conditions at the German coasts

Table A1 Characteristics of the German ice observing stations at the Baltic Sea winter 2022/23.
*Maximum thickness from the ranges of the Baltic Sea ice code. For codes 7, 8 and 9 thicknesses of 22 cm, 40 cm and 45 cm, respectively, are used.
  Begin End Days with ice max. ice thickness [cm]
(Measurement)
max. ice thickness [cm]*
(Baltic Sea ice code)
Althagen, harbour and vicinity 12.12. 26.12. 15 [—] 30
Anklam, harbour 15.12. 22.12. 8 8.0 10
Anklam, harbour – Peenestrom 15.12. 22.12. 8 8.0 10
Barhöft – Gellen fairway 17.12. 22.12. 6 [—] 5
Barth, harbour and vicinity 11.12. 26.12. 16 11.0 15
Bridge of Zecherin, Peenestrom 13.12. 26.12. 14 6.0 10
Dranske, Libben fairway 19.12. 21.12. 3 5.0 5
Dranske, bodden area 15.12. 22.12. 8 5.0 10
Dänische Wieck 15.12. 22.12. 8 7.0 22
Flensburg – Holnis 12.12. 19.12. 8 [—] 5
Greifswald-Ladebow, harbour 13.12. 22.12. 9 7.0 22
Greifswald-Wieck, harbour 15.12. 22.12. 8 7.0 22
Heiligenhafen, harbour 17.12. 19.12. 3 1.0 5
Kamminke, harbour and vicinity 15.12. 29.12. 15 [—] 5
Karnin, Firth of Szczecin 14.12. 19.12. 6 [—] 10
Karnin, Peenestrom 14.12. 19.12. 6 [—] 10
Kloster, bodden area 10.12. 26.12. 14 8.0 10
Lübeck – Travemünde 18.12. 19.12. 2 [—] 5
Neuendorf, harbour and vicinity 11.12. 26.12. 13 4.0 10
Neustadt, harbour 06.02. 06.02. 1 [—] 5
Peenemünde – Ruden 14.12. 20.12. 7 [—] 5
Rankwitz, Peenestrom 15.12. 26.12. 12 6.0 10
Rostock – Warnemünde 12.12. 21.12. 10 [—] 10
Rostock, city harbour 14.12. 23.12. 10 [—] 10
Sassnitz, harbour and vicinity 16.12. 10.02. 8 [—] 5
Schlei, Schleswig – Kappeln 11.12. 21.12. 11 7.0 10
Stralsund – Bessiner Haken 15.12. 24.12. 10 5.0 10
Stralsund – Palmer Ort 15.12. 23.12. 9 [—] 5
Stralsund, harbour 15.12. 22.12. 8 3.0 5
Thiessow, bodden area 14.12. 19.12. 6 [—] 10
Thiessow, sea 15.12. 18.12. 4 [—] 5
Ueckermünde, Firth of Szczecin 16.12. 23.12. 8 [—] 10
Ueckermünde, harb. – river mouth 17.12. 20.12. 4 [—] 10
Ueckermünde, harbour 17.12. 20.12. 4 [—] 10
Vierendehlrinne 15.12. 26.12. 12 5.0 10
Walfisch – Timmendorf 15.12. 19.12. 5 [—] 5
Warthe, Peenestrom 14.12. 26.12. 13 10.0 10
Wismar – Walfisch 15.12. 20.12. 6 [—] 5
Wismar, harbour 12.12. 21.12. 10 8.0 10
Wittower Fähre, vicinity 15.12. 23.12. 9 [—] 10
Wolgast – Peenemünde 15.12. 23.12. 10 [—] 10
Zingst, Zingster Strom 14.12. 21.12. 8 8.0 10
Table A1 Characteristics of the German ice observing stations at the North Sea winter 2022/23.
*Maximum thickness from the ranges of the Baltic Sea ice code. For codes 7, 8 and 9 thicknesses of 22 cm, 40 cm and 45 cm, respectively, are used.
  Begin End Days with ice max. ice thickness [cm]
(Measurement)
max. ice thickness [cm]*
(Baltic Sea ice code)
Bremen, Weser 16.12. 17.12. 2 [—] 5
Büsum, Norderpiep 16.12. 19.12. 4 [—] 5
Büsum, Süderpiep 16.12. 19.12. 4 [—] 5
Büsum, harbour 16.12. 19.12. 4 [—] 5
Ellenbogen (Sylt), Listertief 16.12. 17.12. 2 5.0 5
Emden, Neuer Binnenhafen 15.12. 16.12. 2 [—] 5
Schillig, Jade 18.12. 19.12. 2 [—] 5
Wangerooge, Harle 16.12. 19.12. 4 [—] 5
Wangerooge, wadden 16.12. 19.12. 4 5.0 5
Wangerooger Fahrwasser 18.12. 19.12. 2 [—] 5
Wilhelmshaven, harbour entrances 18.12. 19.12. 2 [—] 5
Wilhelmshaven, oil jetty (Jade) 18.12. 19.12. 2 [—] 5

B. Baltic Sea ice codes of German stations.

Figure B1 Firts part Baltic Sea ice codes of Baltic Sea stations winter 2022/23.
Figure B1 Second part Baltic Sea ice codes of Baltic Sea stations winter 2022/23.
Figure B1 Baltic Sea ice codes of NorthSea stations winter 2022/23.

The ice winter 2023/2024 at the German coasts and the Baltic Sea

Wiebke Aldenhoff

Table of Content

1 Overview of the ice winter 2023/34

The ice winter 2023/24 at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coast was a weak ice winter and the thirteenth too warm winter in a row. Although there were in total three short cold periods in the beginning of December 2023 and in January 2024, ice only formed in coastal and sheltered areas. With exemption of the Szczecin Lagoon where thin ice formed slightly offshore. Navigation was not noteworthy impeded by the thin ice.
The ice winter in the entire Baltic Sea was likewise a weak ice winter regarding the maximum ice extent. However, the maximum ice extent was larger than the past five winters. In the northern part, the ice season lasted from the end of November 2023 until June 2024 and was therefore longer than usual. Intrusions of warm air and southerly winds prevented that the ice winter got more severe. Ridges created by the wind posed a challenge at places for navigation in the Bay of Bothnia. Further south the ice season also started earlier than usual at many places but also ended earlier.

2 The ice winter at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coast

2.1 Weather conditions at the German coastal areas

The winter 2023/24 was the thirteens mild winter in a row according the German Weather Service and the third warmest since records began [1]. This is reflected by the monthly mean temperatures and their deviation from the reference period 1981–2010 for the stations Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde and Greifswald from November 2023 to March 2024 as shown Table 1. The monthly mean temperatures were above the reference period for all months, with February being more than 4 °C warmer than the reference values for all stations. November to January the deviations ranged from 0.4 °C to 2.2 °C and March was up to 3.1 °C warmer than the reference period. With a cold sum below 100 all four winters are meteorological mild winters.

Table 1 Monthly mean air temperatures and their deviation from the reference period 1981-2010. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (www.dwd.de).
  November December January February March
  T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT
Norderney 7.80 1.20 5.70 2.20 3.90 1.30 6.80 4.20 7.60 2.70
Schleswig 5.40 0.40 3.70 1.70 2.30 1.00 5.60 4.20 6.60 2.80
Warnemünde 6.60 1.00 4.20 1.80 2.90 1.40 6.00 4.20 7.30 3.10
Greifswald 5.50 0.80 3.40 2.00 2.20 1.60 5.70 4.70 6.70 3.00

Despite the overall warm winter, there were three shorter cold periods, one at the end of November/beginning of December and two in the second and third week of January, when permanent frost was not unusual along the German coast. This is shown by the daily mean temperatures of the stations Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde and Greifswald in Figure 1. Days with daily mean temperatures below 0 °C are highlighted in blue. At the end of November, daily mean temperatures below 0 °C occurred for the first time at the North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts. The influx of colder air of polar origin caused a temperature drop and permanent frost occurred at places. In the eastern part, the colder weather lasted until 7 December 2023 before daily mean temperatures increased to around 0 °C. The daily mean temperatures were well above 0 °C after 10 December 2024 for all stations. The rest of December was mild and first after the turn of the year cold air of polar origin caused once more a cold period after 4 January 2024 that spread from the north of Schleswig-Holstein to southeast. Milder weather prevailed after 11 January 2024 and daily mean temperatures were temporarily above 0 °C. From 15 January 2024 until 19 January 2024, the daily mean temperatures except for the East Frisian islands sank once more below 0 °C. The rest of January was significantly warmer. Throughout the rest of the winter, there were no more frost periods and the daily mean temperatures remained well above 0 °C.

Daily mean temperatures from December 2022 to April 2023 for Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde und Greifswald. Explanations in the text.
Figure 1 Daily mean air temperatures of selected stations along the German coast. Highlighted in blue are days with daily mean temperatures below the freezing point. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD).

Figure 2 shows the number of ice days, days with maximum temperature below the freezing point, and the cold sum, absolute value of the negative daily mean temperatures, of the stations Emden, Norderney, List, St. Peter Ording, Hamburg Fuhlsbüttel, Schleswig, Warnemünde, Greifswald, Arkona and Greifswalder Oie for the last four winters. Despite the rather mild winter, there were more ice days along the North Sea coast except for the East Frisian islands. For the stations Hamburg Fuhlsbüttel and Schleswig that are located more inland there were the most ice days of the four past winters. Along the eastern Baltic Sea coast there were mostly fewer ice days than in the preceding ice winter and the winter 2020/21, but often more than in the winter 2021/22. This trend is also reflected in the cold sum but the winter 2020/21 had the largest cold sum at all stations.

Number of ice days and the cold sum for 10 stations along the German coast for the last four winters. Explanations in the text.
Figure 2 Number of ice days and cold sum for selected stations along the German coast.

The course of the air temperatures is also reflected in the water temperatures at several stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast as shown in Figure 3. During November, water temperatures at all stations continuously sank often below 5 °C. With the start of the cold period at the end of November, the water temperatures decreased even more especially in the Baltic Sea. In the lagoon and bodden areas of the Darß, around Rügen and the Szczecin Lagoon water temperatures around 0 °C were measured. With the end of the cold period water temperatures increased significantly especially in sheltered lagoon and bodden areas. Along the outer coast, variations in water temperature were less. During the further course of December, water temperatures remained around 5 °C before they were falling again with the next cold period in the beginning of January. Especially along the outer coast water temperatures dropped below the levels of December but remained above 0 °C. The temporary warmer air temperatures mid January are also reflected in the water temperatures. With the end of the cold period at the end of the third week of January, water temperatures steadily increased during the winter.

Water temperatures from November to April of the stations Büsum(Schleuse), Brunsbüttel, Cuxhaven and Norderney along the North Sea coast.
Figure 3 Water temperatures along the German North Sea coast. All data is unchecked raw data. Data source: Norderney and Cuxhaven - Deutsche Gesellschaft zur Rettung Schiffbrüchiger; Büsum - Schleuse Büsum, Brunsbüttel - WSA Brunsbüttel.
Water temperatures from November to April of the stations Travemünde, Warnemünde, Sassnitz and Koserow along the Baltic Sea coast.
Figure 4 Water temperatures along the outer coast of the Baltic Sea. All data is unchecked raw data. Data source: Warnemünde, Sassnitz, Travemünde - WSA Ostsee; Koserow - Staatliches Amt für Landwirtschaft und Umwelt Mittleres Mecklenburg.
Water temperatures from November to April of the stations Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Karlshagen, Karnin in the Bodden waters and the Szczecin Lagoon.
Figure 5 Water temperatures in the Bodden waters of the Darß and around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon. All data is unchecked raw data. Data source: Karlshagen, Karnin, Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Sassnitz - WSA Ostsee.

2.2 Ice conditions at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts

The ice winter 2023/24 along the German coasts was despite three cold periods in the beginning of December and in January a weak ice winter that started comparatively early. During the ice periods, ice formed only temporarily in sheltered coastal areas while the open sea remained ice-free. Due to the short duration of the ice periods, no thicker ice could form and the ice vanished quickly with increasing temperatures. With exception of the harbour in Emden, only minor ice formed around the North Frisian islands of the North Sea. Along the Baltic Sea coast ice occurred in sheltered places along the entire coast but with exemption of the Schlei only occasionally along the coast of Schleswig-Holstein.
The first ice of the season was reported on 30 November 2023 for the inner Schlei, in Dranske at the west coast of Rügen and the Listertief north of the island Sylt in the North Sea. The following days ice formed increasingly in the Peenestrom, in sheltered bays of the Szczecin lagoon, in the bodden water around Rügen and at places in the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain and the harbour of Wismar. Thicker ice only formed near Rankwitz in the Peenestrom and close to Ueckermünde. With increasing temperatures from 8 December 2023, the mainly thin ice vanished quickly. At 13 December 2023 the coasts were ice-free with the last ice vanishing in Rankwitz. At the North Sea ice was only reported for the Listertief at some days between 30 November 2023 and 8 December 2023. The early occurrence of ice at the turn of the month November/December 2023 is comparatively to the long-term median of the years 1961–2010 early but not unique.

Sentinel-1 radar image of the German Baltic Sea coast from the Bay of Lübeck to the Szczecin lagoon from 10.01.2024.
Figure 7 Sentinel-1 radar image of the German Baltic Sea coast from the Bay of Lübeck to the Szczecin Lagoon from 10.01.2024. [Copernicus Sentinel data 2024, processed by SentinelHub]. Ice is visible in the Bay of Wismar, the Salzhaff along the southern coast of the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the western bays of Rügen, the Peenestrom and the western Szczecin Lagoon. Ice formation is represented by the different texture compared to the surrounding water (see also explanation in text).


Ice formation along the coast started again with the second cold period of the winter on 9 January 2024. The second ice period also lasted only a few days before warmer temperatures temporarily melted the still thin ice. Figure 7 shows a Sentinel-1 radar image of the Baltic Sea coast from the Bay of Lübeck to the Szczecin Lagoon taken the early morning 10 January 2024. Ice formation is visible in the Dassow Bay at the mouth of the river Trave, the Bay of Wismar, the Salzhaff, along the southern coast of the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain and the western bays of Rügen. The ice in the image appears brighter and smoother in texture compared to the surrounding water. In the Peenestrom and the southwestern and northeastern part of the Szczecin Lagoon ice formation is also visible. However, at those places the ice appears darker than the surrounding water and has more texture as ice formation is not uniform across the sea. The radar image usually represents the roughness of the surface. Rough surfaces reflect more electromagnetic radiation back to the radar than smooth surfaces. Thus, smooth surfaces appear dark and rough surfaces bright in the image. Ice that forms at the sea can be rough or smooth depending on the circumstances of formation and the thickness of the ice. If ice forms at the sea, the roughness is usually reduced compared to non ice-covered water as a thin, smooth ice layer forms that dampens the small surface ripples of the water. Wind that forces this layer to break up or not freeze evenly and smaller pieces to collide causes a rougher ice surface. Unfortunately, natures behaviour is seldom so simple so that the interpretation of radar images for sea ice not only requires training but also the consideration of the spatial context of the image and the weather conditions of the past days. Temperatures increased from west to east after 11 January 2024 and the thin ice quickly vanished. The coast was ice-free on 13 January 2024. There was no noteworthy ice formation along the North Sea coast during this cold period. The ice-free time was short-lived and from 16 January 2024 the last ice for this winter formed in sheltered places along the entire Baltic Sea coast. At the North Sea minor ice formed in the harbour of Emden and around the North-Frisian islands, but it remained open water. In Kamminke located in the western part of the Szczecin Lagoon the last ice was observed on 23 January 2024. Most of the ice especially along the western coast was mostly gone by 20 January 2024. The mild ice winter is also reflected in the daily areal ice volume sum. The areal ice volume sum is a measure to determine the ice winter strength that depends on the ice thickness, the ice concentration and the duration of the ice occurrence [3]. The ice volume sum is calculated at 13 ice climate stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast, respectively. Along the North Sea coast, the following stations are used for the calculation: Borkum/Westerems, Emden (Ems and outer harbour), Norderney/Seegat, Wangerooge/wadden, Lighthouse Hohe Weg, Brake (Weser), Helgoland, Stadersand/Elbe, Brunsbüttel, Hamburg/Landungsbrücken, Husum (harbour), Amrum/Schmaltief and Tönning (harbour). Along the Baltic Sea coast, the following stations are used: Koserow, Arkona, Landtiefrinne, Vierendehlrinne, Warnemünde/sea area, Rostock-Warnemünde, Walfisch-Timmendorf, Travemünde-Lübeck, Marienleuchte/sea area, Westermarkelsdorf/sea area, Eckernförde (harbour), Schleimünde-Schleswig and Flensburg-Holnis.

Daily ice volume sum for the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast. Explanations in the text.
Figure 8 Daily areal ice volume sum of the 13 climatological ice stations at the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast, respectively.
In the winter 2023/24 ice was only reported for the stations Schleimünde - Schleswig and Flensburg - Holnis along the Baltic Sea coast. The daily ice volume sum is shown in Figure 8. The three ice periods and the short break between the second and third frost period are reflected by the daily ice volume sum. During the first two frost periods ice was only observed at the Schlei and in the last period also at Flensburg - Holnis that doubled the daily ice volume sum. A total of 28 stations reported ice in the winter 2023/24 of which 4 were on the North Sea coast and 24 on the Baltic sea coast. The highest measured ice thickness was 6 cm at the station Rankwitz in the Peenestrom. Thicker ice observed at Dagebüll at the North Sea coast might be caused by faster ice formation at areas falling dry with ebb tides. The most days with ice were observed at the station Rankwitz in the Peenestrom with 26 days followed by the Schlei with 22 days. At the North Sea coast ice was observed at 7 days in the Listertief. An overview of the ice winter statistics and ice observations at all German stations is given in the appendices A und B.

2.3 Navigational conditions at the North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts

Navigation was not noteworthy impeded along the German coasts in the winter 2023/24 due to the short freezing periods and therefore thin ice thickness.

2.4 Ice winter severity

The ice winter severity along the German coasts is determined by the accumulated areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climate stations for the North Ses and Blatic Sea (see 2.2). The ice winters are than classified in five categories: weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe. The accumulated ice volume sum in the winter 2023/24 is shown in Figure 9. The three ice periods are distinguished by the steps of constant ice volume sum. With an accumulated ice volume sum of 0.03 m and 0 m along the Baltic Sea coast and North Sea coast respectively, the ice winters at both coasts were weak ice winters. They were the twelfth weak ice winters in a row along the German coasts.
Accumulated areal ice volume sum for the North Sea and Baltic Sea in the ice winter 2023/34.
Figure 9 Accumulated areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological stations at the North and Baltic Sea coast, respectively.
Figure 10 shows the accumulated ice volume sum at the German Baltic Sea coast since the winter 1879. Out of the total 146 winters, 21 winters were even or weaker and 124 winter stronger than the winter 2023/24. Since 2010 no severe winter occurred and the last very severe winter was in 1996.
Time series of ice volume sum from 1879 for the Baltic Sea.
Figure 10 Time series of ice volume sum at the German Baltic Sea coast since 1879. The black lines denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.
Figure 11 shows the accumulated ice volume sum at the German North Sea coast since the winter 1897. Out of the total 128 winters, there were 18 winter with likewise no ice and 109 stronger winters. The last severe ice winter occurred in 1996 and the last very severe winter in 1979.
Time series of ice volume sum from 1897 for the North Sea.
Figure 11 Time series of the ice volume sum at the German North Sea Coast since 1897. The black lines denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.
Overall all winters since 2000 have been weak or moderate with the exception of the ice winter 2010 at the German Baltic Sea coast. Moreover, there is a trend to milder ice winters. However, it is difficult to draw conclusions of the coming winter from the timeseries as there is still a large year-to-year variability.

3 Ice conditions in the western and southern Baltic Sea, Kattegat and Skagerrak

In the Skagerrak and Kattegat ice occurred only in sheltered areas and in the inner archipelagos along the coast during the course of the winter. Ice formation started at the end of November/beginning of December 2023 and most of the ice was gone by the beginning of March. At places along the Norwegian coast ice was present until the last third of March. Along the Danish islands and the mainland ice formed at sheltered places only during the frost period in January. Along the southern Swedish coast there was some thin ice during the cold periods in December and January especially in the archipelagos around Karlskrona. In the Vistula Lagoon and the Curonian Lagoon, ice formation started end of November. Most of the ice was gone by the end of the second third of December before new ice formed at the beginning of January. Most of the ice was gone in Vistula lagoon be the beginning of February and in the Curonian was only some minor ice left at places. No new ice formation occurred during the remainder of the winter.

4 Ice conditions in the northern Baltic Sea

The ice winter in the entire Baltic Sea was a long ice winter from the end of October 2023 to beginning of June 2024. Regarding the maximum ice extent it was a weak ice winter but the extent was the largest of the last six winters.
The first ice in the archipelagos of the northern Bay of Bothnia formed around 22./23. Oktober 2023. In November the coastal ice stretched to Norra Kvarken in the south and ice formation further out at sea started in the northern part. End of November/beginning of December ice formation occurred along the entire coast south into the Archipelago Sea and Åland Sea as well as in the Gulf of Finland and the Gulf of Riga. Somewhat later ice formation also started further south along the Swedish coast. In the second half milder weather in the entire Baltic Sea region caused a decline in sea ice cover. End of December the temperatures dropped and in the beginning of January very severe frost was observed as south as the Gulf of Riga so that the ice cover quickly grew in all coastal areas as well as at sea in the northern part. On 3 January 2024 the Bay of Bothnia and Norra Kvarken were completely covered by ice. In the Gulf of Finland ice formed increasingly at sea in the eastern part and off the northern coast until mid January. With the end of January milder weather with temperatures partly around 0 °C in the north became dominant and southwesterly winds compressed the ice along the coasts in the Bay of Bothnia and the Gulf of Finland. The ice extent decreased significantly during this period. From 5 February 2024 temperatures dropped in the entire northern Baltic Sea area and the ice cover increased quickly with ice forming at sea in the Bay of Bothnia, Norra Kvarken, northern Sea of Bothnia and the Gulf of Finland. The maximum ice extent was reached on 12 February 2024. Figure 12 shows the ice chart of the BSH from 14 February 2024.

 Ice chart of maximum sea ice extent in the Baltic Sea at 8 March 2023.
Figure 12 Ice chart of maximum sea ice extent on 14 February 2024 of the Baltic Sea issued by BSH.
at the time of the maximum, the Bay of Bothnia, Norra Kvarken, the northern Bay of Bothnia and the Archipelago Sea were completely covered by ice. Ice was present off the coast of the Sea of Bothnia but the central part remained ice free. The Gulf of Finland was covered in the eastern part to approximately the longitude of Tallin. In the northern Gulf of Riga and along the Swedish coast to the Kalmarsound in the south ice was present as well. No ice except some ice remnants in the Curonian Lagoon and near Kaliningrad was present further south. The ice off the coast in the Sea of Bothnia and the western ice in the Gulf of Finland was mostly thin ice. With warmer temperatures end of February to the northern part of the Baltic sea and southerly winds ice extent decreased once more. The ice off the coast vanished in the Sea of Bothnia except in the northernmost part. In the Gulf of Finland and the Bay of Bothnia the ice drifted to the northern coast. The ice along the southern Swedish coast melted. Generally the ice situation changed little during March. However, some ice formed again at sea in the Bay of Bothnia and drifted southwards so that the ice extent increased for a short time. End of March/beginning of April the ice melted significantly and quickly in the Northern Baltic Sea, the Archipelago Sea, the Gulf of Riga and the Gulf of Finland. The Northern Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Riga were ice-free in the first third of April. The southern Sea of Bothnia, the Archipelago Sea and the Gulf of Finland followed in during the second third of April. The remaining ice in the northern Sea of Bothnia and Norra Kvarken became rotten and the ice at sea vanished in the course of April. The drift ice in the Bay of Bothnia drifted westwards and a large lead with mostly open water formed along the Finnish coast. The drift ice remained along the Swedish coast until the beginning of May. Warm temperatures during May caused the remaining fast ice in the Bay of Bothnia to rotten. The drift ice at sea also quickly diminished. Remnants of the relatively thick fast ice remained in the northeastern part until the beginning of June and on 4 June 2024 the Baltic Sea was ice free. The long lasting and partly very cold winter caused up to 90 cm thick fast ice in the northern archipelago of the Bay of Bothnia and the drift ice was at places still up to 70 cm thick in May.

The course of the ice winter is also reflected in the sea ice extent from the BSH ice charts in Figure 13.
Weekly ice extent from BSH ice chsrts.
Abbildung 13 Ice extent in the Baltic Sea in the course of the winter from BSH ice charts.
The alteration of warmer and colder periods in December, January and February and caused the changes in ice extent are clearly visible. Especially in the northern Baltic Sea it was an ice winter that started early at the end of October and lasted long until the beginning of June. The warmer periods however impeded the development of an overall severe ice winter. The southerly winds linked with the milder weather in January and February however caused ridging of the drift ice in the Bay of Bothnia that resulted in difficulties for navigation. In the southern Baltic Sea however, the winter started comparatively early but ended also earlier than usual.
Restrictions for navigation were in force from 22 November 2023 to 31 May 2024 in the northern Bay of Bothnia. At times there were also restrictions in the Sea of Bothnia, the Åland Sea, the Archipelago Sea, the Gulf of Finland, the Gulf of Riga and along the Swedish coast to Karlskrona in the south as well as at places in the Skagerrak and Lake Vänern.

5 Ice winter severity of the Baltic Sea

The strength of the ice winter is determined by the maximum ice extent. A maximum ice extent of 123000 km2 was measured in the ice charts of the BSH on 14 February 2024. In the Swedish/Finnish ice charts the maximum 135000 km2 were reached 12 February 2024. On the one hand the difference is caused by the time difference between the chart dates as some new ice in the Sea of Bothnia and the Gulf of Finland has vanished within the two days. On the other hand, there are systematic differences due to the subjective interpretation of satellite imagery and other ice information, differences in the calculation of the maximum ice extent and the used landmasks.
The classification of the ice winter in five categories from extreme weak to extreme strong is done according to the method of Nusser [4]. The ice winter 2023/24 was a weak ice winter according to this classification. The ice winter was stronger than the last five ice winter. In a three-part classification (mild, normal, severe) from the Swedish and Finnish ice services it was a normal ice winter (>115000km2, <230000 km2). A time series of the maximum ice extent from the Finnish ice service and the BSH since 1961 is shown in Figure 14. The maximum ice extent of both services follows the same trend but there are differences in the values due to above discussed reasons.
Time series of maximum ice extent from FMI and BSH since 1960.
Figure 14 Maximum ice extent from the Finnish ice service and the BSH 1961-2024.

6 Reporting of the BSH

The BSH informed about ice conditions and expected ice development in the entire Baltic Sea and German coastal waters by the following reports and ice charts:

135
Ice reports (Amtsblatt, official report issued Monday - Friday)
0
German Ice Reports (Information about ice conditions in German fairways)<
8
Baltic Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
3
North Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
29
Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)<
0
Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)
0
Ice charts of the German Baltic Sea coast (up to daily)

The weekly report with a review and an outlook of the ice situation in the Baltic as well as with a glimpse of the ice situation at the poles is issued weekly throughout the year since 2022.

Bibliography

  1. Deutscher Wetterdienst (2024, 28. Februar), Deutschlandwetter im Winter 2023/24 [Pressemitteilung], https://www.dwd.de/DE/presse/pressemitteilungen/DE/2024/20240228_deutschlandwetter_winter2023-2024_news.html
  2. Deutscher Wetterdienst, Die Witterung in den deutschen Küstengebieten, https://www.dwd.de/DE/leistungen/witterungkueste/witterungkueste.html
  3. Koslowski, G., 1989: Die flächenbezogene Eisvolumensumme, eine neue Maßzahl für die Bewertung des Eiswinters an der Ostseeküste Schleswig-Holsteins und ihr Zusammenhang mit dem Charakter des meteorologischen Winters. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 42, 61-80
  4. Nusser, F., 1948: Die Eisverhältnisse des Winters 1947/48 an den deutschen Küsten. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 1, 149–156

Appendix

A. Ice conditions at the German coasts

Table A1 Characteristics of the German ice observing stations at the Baltic Sea winter 2023/34.
*Maximum thickness from the ranges of the Baltic Sea ice code. For codes 7, 8 and 9 thicknesses of 22 cm, 40 cm and 45 cm, respectively, are used.
  Begin End Days with ice max. ice thickness [cm]
(Measurement)
max. ice thickness [cm]*
(Baltic Sea ice code)
Althagen, harbour and vicinity 09.01. 11.01. 3 [—] 10
Barth, harbour and vicinity 09.01. 20.01. 10 2.0 5
Bridge of Zecherin, Peenestrom 16.01. 19.01. 2 [—] 10
Dranske, bodden area 30.11. 18.01. 3 [—] 5
Eckernförde, harbour 18.01. 19.01. 2 5.0 5
Flensburg – Holnis 20.01. 21.01. 2 [—] 5
Greifswald-Wieck, harbour 01.12. 07.12. 7 4.0 5
Kamminke, harbour and vicinity 09.01. 23.01. 8 3.0 5
Karnin, Firth of Szczecin 09.12. 19.01. 7 [—] 10
Karnin, Peenestrom 09.12. 19.01. 7 [—] 5
Neuendorf, harbour and vicinity 09.01. 10.01. 2 [—] 5
Neustadt, harbour 18.01. 19.01. 2 1.0 5
Rankwitz, Peenestrom 01.12. 22.01. 26 6.0 10
Rostock, city harbour 09.01. 19.01. 7 [—] 5
Sassnitz, harbour and vicinity 19.01. 20.01. 2 [—] 5
Schlei, Kappeln – Schleimünde 09.01. 10.01. 2 1.0 5
Schlei, Schleswig – Kappeln 30.11. 20.01. 23 3.0 5
Ueckermünde, Firth of Szczecin 04.12. 12.01. 9 [—] 10
Ueckermünde, harb. – river mouth 04.12. 13.01. 10 [—] 10
Ueckermünde, harbour 04.12. 12.01. 8 [—] 5
Warthe, Peenestrom 04.12. 22.01. 17 [—] 5
Wismar – Walfisch 10.01. 11.01. 2 [—] 5
Wismar, harbour 01.12. 14.01. 15 2.0 5
Zingst, Zingster Strom 06.12. 21.01. 7 3.0 5
Table A2 Characteristics of the German ice observing stations at the North Sea winter 2023/34.
*Maximum thickness from the ranges of the Baltic Sea ice code. For codes 7, 8 and 9 thicknesses of 22 cm, 40 cm and 45 cm, respectively, are used.
  Begin End Days with ice max. ice thickness [cm]
(Measurement)
max. ice thickness [cm]*
(Baltic Sea ice code)
Dagebüll, fairway 09.01. 09.01. 1 [—] 15
Dagebüll, harbour 09.01. 09.01. 1 [—] 15
Ellenbogen (Sylt), Listertief 30.11. 10.01. 7 5.0 5
Emden, Neuer Binnenhafen 10.01. 11.01. 2 2.0 5

B. Baltic Sea ice codes of German stations.

Figure B1 Baltic Sea ice codes of German Baltic Sea stations winter 2023/34.
Figure B2 Baltic Sea ice codes of German North Sea stations winter 2023/34.
The ice winter 2024/2025 at the German coasts and the Baltic Sea

The ice winter 2024/2025 at the German coasts and the Baltic Sea

Wiebke Aldenhoff

Bundesamt für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie
wiebke.aldenhoff@bsh.de

Table of Content

1 Overview of the ice winter 2024/25

The winter along the German coasts was a weak ice winter and the fourteenths consecutive too warm winter in Germany. Ice formed only during a on week-long cold spell in the mid-February in sheltered places along the Baltic Sea coast as well as in Bodden waters and the Szczecin Lagooon. In the North Sea ice occurred sporadic at places in the Northfrisian Wadden Sea.

The ice winter in the entire Baltic Sea was likewise a weak ice winter in terms of the maximum ice extent. At Sea, a closed ice cover only formed in the Bay of Bothnia. In the Bothnian Sea and the Gulf of Finland, ice off the coast occurred only for a very short period of time. Repeated strong winds from southwesterly and westerly directions caused partly difficult navigation conditions along the Finnish coast of the Bay of Bothnia.

2 The ice winter at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coast

2.1 Weather conditions at the German coastal areas

The winter 2024/25 was the fourteenths mild winter in Germany in a row according to the German Weather Service [1]. This is reflected by the monthly mean temperatures and their deviation from the reference period 1981–2010 for the stations Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde and Greifswald from November 2024 to March 2025 as shown Table 1. The monthly mean temperatures were above the reference period for all months, with December being the comparatively warmest month with temperatures of 2.6 °C to 3.5°C above the long-term average. The smallest deviations occurred in February with temperatures up to 0.6 °C above the long-term reference value. The monthly mean temperatures in November were up to 1.3 °C, in January up to 1.7 °C and in February up to 2°C above the reference period.

Table 1 Monthly mean air temperatures and their deviation from the reference period 1981-2010. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (www.dwd.de).
  November December January February March
  T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT T [°C] ΔT
Norderney 7.6 1.0 6.1 2.6 3.8 1.2 2.9 0.3 6.6 1.7
Schleswig 6.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 2.6 1.3 2.0 0.6 5.7 1.9
Warnemünde 6.8 1.2 5.4 2.9 3.2 1.6 2.4 0.6 6.2 2.0
Greifswald 6.0 1.3 4.9 3.5 2.3 1.7 1.5 0.5 5.5 1.8

The course of the winter is shown in more detail by the daily mean air temperature at the four stations Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde and Greifswald in Figure 1. Throughout the winter from November to March, short warmer and colder periods alternated. However, daily mean air temparatures below 0 °C were only reached in January and February, with exception of the inland weather station Schleswig. The cold spells in January lasted only for one or two days. In mid February, a cold spell set in lasting for about a week, reasulting in air temperatures below 0 °C along the entire coast. Under influence of high pressure, cold arctic air reached the German coasts and caused moderate and, in some places, severe night frost. Continuous frost occured in places for a short time. The winter came to a quick end with a southwesterly flow bringing very mild air from southern Europe from 20 February 2025 onwards. On 21 February 2025, two-digit air temperatures were recorded on the East-Frisian Islands. The warm air spread to the north-east over the following days. No further cold spells occured for the rest of the winter.

Daily mean temperatures from November 2024 to April 2025 for Norderney, Schleswig, Warnemünde und Greifswald. Explanations in the text.
Figure 1 Daily mean air temperatures of selected stations along the German coast. Highlighted in blue are days with daily mean temperatures below 0 °C. Data source: Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD).

The overall mild winter is reflected in the number of ice days, days with a maximum air temperature below 0 °C, and the cold sum, sum of absolute values of the negative daily mean temperature, of the stations Emden, Norderney, List, St. Peter Ording, Hamburg Fuhlsbüttel, Schleswig, Warnemünde, Greifswald, Arkona and Greifswalder Oie for the last four winters (Figure 2). At the North Sea coast, no ice days were observed during the winter and with the exception of Norderney the cold sum was lower than the previous winter. At the Baltic Sea coast, there was a maximum of three ice days at the stations Schleswig and Greifswalder Oie and 1 to 2 ice days at the other stations except Arkona with no ice day. The number of ice days was mostly lower than in the previous three winters. The cold sum was below 30 for all stations and thus well below the limit of 100 days for mild winters. The cold sum of the eastern most stations from Warnemünde to Greifswalder Oie was lower than in the previous three winters.

Number of ice days and the cold sum for 10 stations along the German coast for the last four winters. Explanations in the text.
Figure 2 Number of ice days and cold sum for selected stations along the German coast.

The mild winter is also reflected in the water temperatures at several stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast as shown in Figure 3 to 5. At the North Sea coast (stations Norderney, Cuxhaven, Brunsbüttel and Schleuse Büsum) and the outer coast of the Baltic Sea (stations Kiel, Warnemünde, Sassnitz and Koserow), the water temperatures dropped continuously from November 2024 to mid-February 2025. Short term changes in air temperatures were not reflected in the water temperatures in 1.5 m depth. The lowest water temperatures were reached during the cold spell in February and were in the low single digit range. In the further course of the winter, the water temperatures steadily increased. In the inner waters of the Schlei (station Schleswig) and the Bodden waters (stations Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Karlshagen und Karnin), the water temperature decreased steadily during November. In December the water temperatures remained relatively constant but increased slightly in the second half of the month. In January, water temperatures dropped at the beginning of the month and stabilized for the rest of the month. At the change of the month water temperatures increased slightly before reaching their minimum with the cold spell mid February. Minimum water temperatures were moslty slightly above 0 °C and only dropped temporary below 0°C in Karnin. With the end of the cold spell temperatures increased quickly.

Water temperatures from November 2024 to April 2025 of the stations Büsum(Schleuse), Brunsbüttel, Cuxhaven and Norderney along the North Sea coast.
Figure 3 Water temperatures along the German North Sea coast. All data is unchecked raw data. Data source: Norderney and Cuxhaven - Deutsche Gesellschaft zur Rettung Schiffbrüchiger; Büsum - Schleuse Büsum, Brunsbüttel - WSA Brunsbüttel.
Water temperatures from November 2024 to April 2025 of the stations Travemünde, Warnemünde, Sassnitz and Koserow along the Baltic Sea coast.
Figure 4 Water temperatures along the outer coast of the Baltic Sea. All data is unchecked raw data. Data source: Warnemünde, Sassnitz, Travemünde - WSA Ostsee; Koserow - Staatliches Amt für Landwirtschaft und Umwelt Mittleres Mecklenburg.
Water temperatures from November 2024 to April 2025 of the stations Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Karlshagen, Karnin in the Bodden waters and the Szczecin Lagoon.
Figure 5 Water temperatures in the Bodden waters of the Darß and around Rügen and in the Szczecin Lagoon. All data is unchecked raw data. Data source: Karlshagen, Karnin, Barhöft, Stahlbrode, Wolgast, Sassnitz - WSA Ostsee.

2.2 Ice conditions at the German North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts

The ice winter 2024/25 along the German coasts was a weak ice winter with only a short ice period in mid February. However in January and beginning of February sporadic ice formation occured in sheltered places along the Baltic Sea coast. During the ice period in February, ice formed in sheltered places along the Baltic Sea coast especially in the Bodden waters of the Darss and around Rügen as well as the Szczecin Lagoon, reaching thicknesses around 5 cm. Some ice fromaed locally in sheltered areas along the Schleswig-Holstein coast and on the Schlei. In the North Sea ice occurred at places in the Wadden Sea area and harbours along the North-frisian coast. No ice formed at the outer coast, eventhough the Szczecin Lagoon was largely covered by ice for a short period.

The first ice of the season in the Baltic Sea was reported on 13 January 2025 on the Schlei, the harbour of Wismar, Greifswald Ladebow harbour and the Bodden area by Dranske. However, the ice was mostly gone by the next day. Except for the Schlei, where the ice persisted for two days. In the beginning of February ice occured again at few sheltered places of the Baltic Sea coast. During the cold spell in mid February, ice formation began around 14. February 2025 along the eastern Baltic Sea coast. Along the coast of Schleswig-Holstein, ice formation started around 16 February 2025 on the Schlei and in sheltered places. Along the North Sea coast, the first ice formed around 17 February 2025.

Sentinel-1 radar image of the German Baltic Sea coast from the Bay of Lübeck to the Szczecin lagoon from 10.01.2024.
Figure 7 Sentinel-1 radar image of the German Baltic Sea coast from the Bay of Wismar to the Szczecin Lagoon from 19.02.2025 [Modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2025]. Ice is visible in the Salzhaff, the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the western bays of Rügen and the Szczecin Lagoon (orange arows). Ice formation is represented by the different texture compared to the surrounding water (see also explanation in text).


The maximum sea-ice cover was observed on 19 February 2025. At this date, ice was present in sheltered places along the North Sea and Baltig Sea coast of Schleswig-Holstein, at places in the North Frisian Wadden sea, as well as along the eastern Baltic Sea coast at the Salzhaff, the Darss-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the western bays of Rügen, the Peenestrom and the Szczecin Lagoon. Figure 7 shows a Sentinel-1 radar image of the German coast from Wismar Bay to the Szczecin Lagoon on 19 February 2025. Ice is visible in the Salzhaff, the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain, the western bays of Rügen and the Szczecin Lagoon (orange arows). Ice floes are visible in the Szczecin Lagoon as continuous dark areas. The ice shows a different texture or brightness than the surrounding water. With thin ice like in this image, it usually requires additional information, like radar images and weather information of the past days or observations of ice observers, for the decision ice or water.

The ice along the coasts vanished quickly with warm, partly two digit air temperatures starting on 20 February 2025. The North Sea was ice-free on 22 February 2025. The ice lasted longest in the western Szczin Lagoon, where the last ice was reported at the station Kamminke on 24 February 2025.

The weak ice winter is also reflected in the accumulated areal ice volume sum. The areal ice volume sum is a measure to determine the ice winter strength that depends on the ice thickness, the ice concentration and the duration of the ice occurrence [3]. The ice volume sum is calculated at 13 ice climate stations along the North Sea and Baltic Sea coast, respectively. Along the North Sea coast, the following stations are used for the calculation: Borkum/Westerems, Emden (Ems and outer harbour), Norderney/Seegat, Wangerooge/wadden, Lighthouse Hohe Weg, Brake (Weser), Helgoland, Stadersand/Elbe, Brunsbüttel, Hamburg/Landungsbrücken, Husum (harbour), Amrum/Schmaltief and Tönning (harbour). Along the Baltic Sea coast, the following stations are used: Koserow, Arkona, Landtiefrinne, Vierendehlrinne, Warnemünde/sea area, Rostock-Warnemünde, Walfisch-Timmendorf, Travemünde-Lübeck, Marienleuchte/sea area, Westermarkelsdorf/sea area, Eckernförde (harbour), Schleimünde-Schleswig and Flensburg-Holnis.In the winter 2024/25 ice was only reported for the stations Schleimünde - Schleswig and Rostock - Warnemünde for the Baltic Sea coast. At the North Sea, ice was observed at the stations Amrum Schmaltief and Tönning, Hafen. The accumulated ice volume sum is shown in Figure 8. The short ice occurrence in the Schlei in January and the ice period in February are visible.

Accumulated areal ice volume sum for the North Sea and Baltic Sea in the ice winter 2024/25.
Figure 9 Accumulated areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climatological stations at the North and Baltic Sea coast, respectively.

A total of 37 stations reported ice in the winter 2024/25; eight along the North Sea coast and 29 along the Baltic Sea coast. A maximum ice thickness of 7 cm was measured in the harbour of Barth in the Darß-Zingst-Bodden-Chain. Most days with ice in the Baltic Sea were observed in the Schlei and in the harbour of Wismar, with 9 days. In the North Sea, ice was reported for a maximum of four days at the island of Amrum. An overview of the statistics and ice observations of all ice observing stations is shown in the appendices A und B.

2.3 Navigational conditions at the North Sea and Baltic Sea coasts

Navigation was not noteworthy impeded along the German coasts in the winter 2024/25 due to the short freezing periods and therefore thin ice thickness. In some harbours a thin ice cover was broken up by the ship traffic.

2.4 Ice winter severity

The ice winter severity along the German coasts is determined by the accumulated areal ice volume sum of 13 ice climate stations for the North Sea and Blatic Sea (see 2.2). The ice winters are than classified in five categories: weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe. The accumulated ice volume sum in the winter 2024/25 is shown in Figure 8. With an accumulated ice volume sum of 0.02 m and 0,01 m along the Baltic Sea coast and North Sea coast respectively, the ice winters at both coasts were weak ice winters. They were the thirteenths weak ice winters in a row along the German coasts. Figure 9 shows the accumulated ice volume sum at the German Baltic Sea coast since the winter 1879. Over the entire 147 winters, 15 winters were equal or weaker and 131 winters stronger than the winter 2024/25. Since 2010 no severe winter occurred and the last very severe winter was in 1996.
Time series of ice volume sum from 1879 for the Baltic Sea.
Figure 9 Time series of ice volume sum at the German Baltic Sea coast since 1879. The black lines denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.
Figure 10 shows the accumulated ice volume sum at the German North Sea coast since the winter 1897. Over the entire 129 winters, 24 winters were weaker or equal and 109 stronger winters. The last severe ice winter occurred in 1996 and the last very severe winter in 1979.
Time series of ice volume sum from 1897 for the North Sea.
Figure 10 Time series of the ice volume sum at the German North Sea Coast since 1897. The black lines denote the boundaries for weak, moderate, severe, very severe and extremely severe ice winters.
Overall, all winters since 2000 have been weak or moderate with the exception of the ice winter 2010 at the German Baltic Sea coast. Moreover, there is a trend to milder ice winters. However, it is difficult to draw conclusions of the coming winter from the timeseries as there is still a large year-to-year variability.

3 Ice conditions in the western and southern Baltic Sea, Kattegat and Skagerrak

In the Skagerrak and Kattegat ice occurred only in sheltered areas and in the inner archipelagos along the coast during the course of the winter. Ice formation started around mid December 2024 at places along the Norwegian coast. Beginning of January some ice formed along the northern Swedish coast. With the cold spell in mid February ice formation started in sheltered places along the Swedish coast to Karlskrona and along the Danish coasts. Most of the ice was gone by the end of Ferbuary with the warmer weather. In few Norwegian bays ice stayed until the end of March. In the Vistula Lagoon and the Curonian Lagoon, the first ice formed with the cold spell in February. Both Lagoons were covered with ice for a short period but the ice was gone beginning of March. No further ice formation occured for the rest of the winter.

4 Ice conditions in the northern Baltic Sea

The ice winter in the northern Baltic Sea was mostly shorter than usual and only the Bay of Bothnia was covered by ice for a short period of time. In the Bothnian Sea and the Gulf of Finland, hardly any ice formed outside the coasts. Else, ice only formed in sheltered places along the coast. In terms of the maximum ice extent the ice winter 2024/25 was a weak ice winter. Strong, south-westerly winds repeatedly pushed the ice pack in the Bay of Bothnia together and caused difficult navigation conditions at times along the Finnish coast.

The first ice formed in the beginning of November 2024 in the Bay of Bothnia, but ice formation spread very slowly southwards to the Quark due to mild weather. During the first half of December 2024 ice formation started in sheltered places in the Bothnian Sea, the Archipelago Sea, the Aland Sea and the eastern Gulf of Finland as well as at places in the northern Gulf of Riga and lake Mälaren. As December progressed, ice formed at sea in the northern Bay of Bothnia and ice formation continued along the coasts further south. Beginning of January the overall sea-ice cover increased and ice formation extended further south along the northern Gulf of Finland and in the Northern Baltic Sea. The total ice cover fluctuated until February but did not increase significantly. Ice at sea only formed in the northern Bay of Bothnia. With the cold spell in mid-February the sea-ice cover significantly increased and ice formed at sea in the Bay of Bothnia and the Quark as well as for a short period of time in the northern Bothnian Sea and the eastern Gulf of Finland. For the first time the Bay of Bothnia was completely covered with ice on 15 February 2025, and maximum ice extent was reached on 20 February 2025. Figure 11 shows the BSH ice chart from 20 February 2025.

 Ice chart of maximum sea ice extent in the Baltic Sea 20 February 2025.
Figure 11 Ice chart of maximum sea ice extent on 20 February 2025 of the Baltic Sea issued by BSH.
At the time of the maximum ice extent, the Bay of Bothnia and Norra Kvarken were completely covered by ice. In the northern Bothnian Sea, there was open drift ice of the coast in the northwestern part. New ice was present along the entire coast and the Aland Sea and the Archipelago Sea in the south. Lake Mälaren was covered by ice and in sheltered places along the Swedish coast of the Northern Baltic Sea and the Central Baltic Sea, new ice was present. New ice had formed at sea in the estern Gulf of Finland to Gogland in the west and along the northern coast. in the Gulf of Riga, Väinameri was covered by ice and ice formed along the cost to Pärnu Bay. During the last third of February, wild weather and south-westerly winds caused a rapid deccrease of the ice-covered area. In the Bay of Bothnia, the drift ice was pushed together in the north-eastern part while a large lead of open water formed along the Swedish coast.

As March progressed, the ice cover in the northern Baltic Sea, the Gulf of Riga, the Åland Sea and the Archipelago Sea rapidly decreased, and these areas were largely ice-free by mid-March. The ice cover also decreased quickly in the Gulf of Finland, the Bothnian Sea and the Quark. The Gulf of Finland and the southern Bothnian Sea were ice-free at the beginning of April. In the northern Bothnian Sea and the Quark remnants of rotten ice remained until mid-April. In the Bay of Bothnia, the thicker drift ice at sea was mostly located east of the Line Kalajoki to Lulea during March and April. In mid-March, new ice and thin, level ice formed at sea to the Quark, but vanished quickly or drifted to northeast. Recurring srong winds from southwest compressed the sea ice in the northeastern Bay of Bothnia, making navigation in the ice difficult at times. In the last third of April, the fast ice in the northern Bay of Bothnia started to become rotten and the ice at sea decreased continuously. The last remnants of rotten fast ice along the northern coast melted by mid-May while some drift ice remained off the coast from Kalajoki to Raahe. The ice decreased continuously and drifted slightly southward. The last ice melted 23 May 2025 off Kalajoki.

The fast ice in the Bay of Bothnia reached a maximum thickness of about 80 cm. Further south, in Norra Kvarken and the northern Bothnian Sea the fast ice was up to 50 cm thick. In the southern Bothnian Sea and the Gulf of Finland the fast ice was 5 to 35 cm thick. At sea, the drift ice the northern Bay of Bothnia was a maximum of 70 cm thick while only thin ice formed in Norra Kvarken, the northern Bothnian Sea and the eastern Gulf of Finland.

The course of the ice winter is also evident in the sea ice extent from the BSH ice charts in Figure 12.

Weekly ice extent from BSH ice charts.
Abbildung 12 Ice extent in the Baltic Sea in the course of the winter from BSH ice charts.

The maximum ice extent in February and the subsequent rapid decline in sea ice cover are clearly visible. The short periods of warmer weather and southwesterly winds from January to March are reflected in the often week to week changes of the sea ice extent. In mid-March was a short-term increase in sea ice extent before it declined steadily.

Restrictions for navigation were in force from 07 November 2024 to 18 May 2025 in the northern Bay of Bothnia. At times there were also restrictions in place in the Bothnian Sea, the Åland Sea, the Archipelago Sea, the Gulf of Finland, the Gulf of Riga and Lake Mälaren as well as, for a short time, along the Swedish coast to Norrköping and in Lake Vänern.

5 The ice winter 2024/25 in long-term comparison

The strength of the ice winter of the Baltic Sea is determined by the maximum ice extent. A maximum ice extent of 82509 km2 was measured in the weekly ice charts of the BSH on 20 February 2025. The Swedish/Finnish ice charts showed a maximum of 85000 km2 on 20 February 2025. Systematic deviations arise from the subjective interpretation of the underlying satellite images and various ice data, differences in the calculation of ice extent, and different land masks.

The classification of the ice winter in five categories from extreme weak to extreme strong is done according to the method of Nusser [4]. The ice winter 2024/25 was an extremely weak ice winter according to this classification. In a three-part classification (mild, normal, severe) from the Swedish and Finnish ice services it was a mild ice winter (< 115000km2). A time series of the maximum ice extent from the Finnish ice service and the BSH since 1961 is shown in Figure 13. The maximum ice extent of both services follows the same trend but there are differences in the values due to above discussed reasons.
Time series of maximum ice extent from FMI and BSH since 1961.
Figure 13 Maximum ice extent from the Finnish ice service and the BSH 1961-2025.

6 Reporting of the BSH

The BSH informed about ice conditions and expected ice development in the entire Baltic Sea and German coastal waters by the following reports and ice charts:

111
Ice reports (Amtsblatt, official report issued Monday - Friday)
4
German Ice Reports (Information about ice conditions in German fairways)<
8
Baltic Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
3
North Sea reports (detailed description of the ice situation along the German Baltic Sea coast)
25
Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)<
4
Ice charts of the German coastal areas and Skagerrak (up to daily)
5
Ice charts of the German Baltic Sea coast (up to daily)

The weekly report with a review and an outlook of the ice situation in the Baltic as well as with a glimpse of the ice situation at the poles is issued weekly throughout the year since 2022.

Bibliography

  1. Deutscher Wetterdienst (2024, 28. Februar), Deutschlandwetter im Winter 2023/24 [Pressemitteilung], https://www.dwd.de/DE/presse/pressemitteilungen/DE/2024/20240228_deutschlandwetter_winter2023-2024_news.html
  2. Deutscher Wetterdienst, Die Witterung in den deutschen Küstengebieten, https://www.dwd.de/DE/leistungen/witterungkueste/witterungkueste.html
  3. Koslowski, G., 1989: Die flächenbezogene Eisvolumensumme, eine neue Maßzahl für die Bewertung des Eiswinters an der Ostseeküste Schleswig-Holsteins und ihr Zusammenhang mit dem Charakter des meteorologischen Winters. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 42, 61-80
  4. Nusser, F., 1948: Die Eisverhältnisse des Winters 1947/48 an den deutschen Küsten. Dt. hydrogr. Z. 1, 149–156

Appendix

A. Ice conditions at the German coasts

Table A1 Characteristics of the German ice observing stations at the Baltic Sea winter 2024/25.
*Maximum thickness from the ranges of the Baltic Sea ice code. For codes 7, 8 and 9 thicknesses of 22 cm, 40 cm and 45 cm, respectively, are used.
  Begin End Days with ice max. ice thickness [cm]
(Measurement)
max. ice thickness [cm]*
(Baltic Sea ice code)
Barth, harbour and vicinity 17.02. 23.02. 7 7.0 10
Bridge of Zecherin, Peenestrom 18.02. 21.02. 4 3.0 5
Dranske, bodden area 13.01. 21.02. 5 5
Dänische Wieck 13.02. 21.02. 6 1.0 5
Eckernförde, harbour 17.02. 19.02. 3 5.0 5
Greifswald-Ladebow, harbour 13.01. 21.02. 8 1.0 5
Greifswald-Wieck, harbour 13.02. 21.02. 7 2.0 5
Heiligenhafen, harbour 17.02. 19.02. 3 1.0 5
Holtenau – Laboe 19.02. 19.02. 1 5
Kamminke, harbour and vicinity 17.02. 24.02. 8 5
Karnin, Firth of Szczecin 14.02. 20.02. 7 5
Karnin, Peenestrom 16.02. 20.02. 5 5
Kiel, inner harbour 17.02. 20.02. 4 5
Neuendorf, harbour and vicinity 17.02. 22.02. 6 5
Neustadt, harbour 19.02. 19.02. 1 1.0 5
Rostock – Warnemünde 17.02. 22.02. 6 5
Rostock, city harbour 13.02. 23.02. 8 10
Schlei, Kappeln – Schleimünde 17.02. 20.02. 4 1.0 5
Schlei, Schleswig – Kappeln 13.01. 22.02. 9 5.0 5
Thiessow, bodden area 17.02. 20.02. 4 5
Thiessow, sea 17.02. 17.02. 1 5
Ueckermünde, Firth of Szczecin 17.02. 20.02. 4 5
Ueckermünde, harb. – river mouth 17.02. 21.02. 5 5
Ueckermünde, harbour 17.02. 21.02. 5 5
Warthe, Peenestrom 17.02. 24.02. 8 2.0 5
Wismar – Walfisch 13.01. 21.02. 7 2.0 5
Wismar, harbour 03.02. 22.02. 9 4.0 5
Wolgast – Peenemünde 19.02. 22.02. 4 10
Zingst, Zingster Strom 19.02. 19.02. 1 1.0 5
Table A2 Characteristics of the German ice observing stations at the North Sea winter 2023/34.
*Maximum thickness from the ranges of the Baltic Sea ice code. For codes 7, 8 and 9 thicknesses of 22 cm, 40 cm and 45 cm, respectively, are used.
  Begin End Days with ice max. ice thickness [cm]
(Measurement)
max. ice thickness [cm]*
(Baltic Sea ice code)
Amrum, Schmaltief 18.02. 21.02. 4 5
Amrum, Vortrapptief 18.02. 21.02. 4 5
Amrum, Wittdün harbour 18.02. 21.02. 4 10
Dagebüll, fairway 18.02. 18.02. 1 5
Dagebüll, harbour 18.02. 18.02. 1 5
Ellenbogen (Sylt), Listertief 15.02. 15.02. 1 5.0 5
Sylt, Harbour List 17.02. 18.02. 2 5
Tönning, harbour 18.02. 20.02. 3 5.0 5

B. Baltic Sea ice codes of German stations.

Figure B1 Baltic Sea ice codes of German Baltic Sea stations winter 2024/25.
Figure B2 Baltic Sea ice codes of German North Sea stations winter 2024/25.

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BSIM

  • BSIM-29 was held 14.-15. October 2025 at the Federal Ministry of Transport in Berlin, commemorating 100 Years of collaboration (tentative Agenda).

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